2023 Genesis Scottish Open: Best PGA Longshot Odds, Picks & Predictions

I drilled Sepp Straka outright at 58/1 in last week’s edition of our best longshot picks at the John Deere Classic. Now, we look forward to this week’s Genesis Scottish Open.

The Renaissance Club will host this event, which it has done annually since 2019. The Renaissance Club is a par-70, 7.237-yard track (yardage subject to change) designed by Tom Doak that benefits strong iron players and creative ball strikers who can adapt quickly on a wind-swirling links course.

Looking at the top of previous leaderboards, the greatest predictors of success at this course are greens in regulation percentage (GIR%), and strokes gained tee to green.

Below, I will give out my two best longshot bets to win the 2023 Genesis Scottish Invitational.

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2023 Genesis Scottish Open: Best Longshot Bets

These plays are 0.3u and 0.15u, or 0.3% and 0.15% of your betting bankroll.

Ludvig Aberg (+5500 via BetMGM): 0.3u

The first golfer we are targeting this week is Ludvig Aberg, who currently sits at 55/1 via BetMGM. By far the biggest prospect in the sport, Aberg has burst onto the scene with six straight made cuts in 2023.

He boasts four top-25 finishes over that stretch, including his T4 performance at last week’s John Deere Classic. Aberg possesses a brilliant all-around game with no clear-cut weaknesses, but his ball-striking ability is what will set him apart from the rest of the world in the next few years.

If he qualified, he would rank 21st on TOUR in strokes gained tee to green and 25th in GIR%. The rest of this season and perhaps next year will be the last times we see this golfer north of 50/1 in the outright market, so it is worth backing him until the market catches up.

Adrian Meronk (+9000 via BetRivers): 0.15u

Another golfer to target this week is Adrian Meronk, who currently sits at 90/1 via BetRivers. The Genesis Scottish Open is a co-sanctioned event between the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour, and Meronk is a member of the latter.

Perhaps the best non-PGA TOUR/LIV professional golfer in the world, Meronk currently ranks 49th in the Official World Golf Rankings and third in the DP World Tour standings. The only two golfers ranked above Meronk on those DP World Tour standings are Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm - pretty good company to be in.

An excellent iron player, he ranks third on the DP World Tour in GIR%, which has propelled him to make each of his past six cuts on that circuit. Meronk boasts five top-15 finishes over that stretch, including his win at the DS Automobiles Italian Open.

He frequently gets sponsor exemptions on the PGA TOUR and even finished T14 at this year’s Honda Classic and T17 at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event. With plenty of links-course experience in Europe, it is worth taking a shot on Meronk at 90/1.

Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.