2023 NFL Divisional Weekend Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Saturday)

We’ve reached the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs, a weekend that many agree is the best football weekend on the calendar.

Sure, the games might be fewer in quantity than a loaded regular season slate. But typically, what Divisional Weekend lacks in quantity, it makes up for in quality.

That being said, we’ve only got two games to break down on Divisional Round Saturday, so let’s dig right into my favorite same-game parlays for Saturday’s contests.

Check out our NFL Divisional Round Betting Guide >>

2023 NFL Divisional Weekend: Saturday’s Best Bets

Here are two of our favorite same-game parlays for Saturday’s games on NFL Divisional Weekend.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5) | Total 52.5

• • Chiefs -8.5
  • Travis Kelce over 79.5 receiving yards
  • Travis Kelce anytime TD
  • Travis Etienne over 17.5 receiving yards
  • Odds: +1062

The Jaguars have been a tremendous story this season, but they’re playing above their weight class in this one. Kansas City defeated Jacksonville in November by 10 in a game that didn’t really feel that close. The Chiefs out-gained the Jaguars 486-315 and averaged 7.8 yards per play to Jacksonville’s 5.2. The reason the game was as close as it was — and it was still a 10-point Chiefs victory — was three Kansas City turnovers. One occurred deep in Jags territory, while another was a fumble on a kickoff return.

I expect a similarly dominant and much sharper performance from the Chiefs coming off the first-round bye. And this frankly isn’t a good matchup for the Jaguars’ defense, which ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA. That means Patrick Mahomes could be in store for a massive day.

But instead of taking a riskier prop with Mahomes eclipsing 315 passing yards, I’d rather take a shot on his primary target, Travis Kelce, having a monster game. Jacksonville has allowed opposing tight ends to average 62.7 receiving yards per game this season, the fourth-most in the NFL. In the first meeting between these teams, Kelce caught eight passes for 81 yards and a score. And we just saw Gerald Everett put up 109 yards and a touchdown a week ago against this same defense. Kelce should eat here.

Lastly, I feel good about Travis Etienne exceeding this low receiving yardage total. The Chiefs have given up an average of 47.4 receiving yards per game to opposing tailbacks this season, the fourth-most in the league. And Etienne caught three passes for 28 yards in the first meeting.

Jacksonville surrendered the second-most receiving yards to opposing tailbacks this season, so I don’t mind a Jerick McKinnon over prop either, as he had 56 receiving yards in the first matchup.

---

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) | Total 48

• • Eagles -7.5
  • Miles Sanders over 67.5 rushing yards
  • Daniel Jones to throw an interception
  • Odds: +475

This is an intriguing game for a variety of reasons. The Eagles blew out the Giants in the first meeting between these teams, then struggled to finish off New York’s backups in the regular season finale when trying to clinch the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC.

The question is whether Philly is healthy and can shake off the rust after going 2-2 down the stretch following their 26-point drubbing of the G-Men in Week 14. It appears the Eagles will be close to full strength, which gives me faith that they’ll dominate their division rival. Their offense is too big of a mismatch for the Giants D.

New York’s defense ranks 29th in DVOA and is arguably the worst unit remaining in the playoffs. The Giants thrive on sending pressure under coordinator Don Martindale while playing five or six defensive backs. That worked against a Minnesota offense that struggled all year on the ground. Philadelphia’s rushing attack should dominate against those lighter boxes. In fact, the Eagles rushed for 253 yards and averaged 8.2 yards per carry in the first meeting. And if the Giants opt to utilize heavier personnel, Philadelphia should be able to uncork it downfield to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.

It pains me to bet against Brian Daboll and this coaching staff. But this coaching staff can’t overcome this wide of a talent gap.

As for props, I think Sanders could be in store for a massive day against the Giants. He rushed for 144 yards in the first meeting and had 33 yards on just 11 carries in the Week 18 finale.

Finally, I’m going to fade Danny Dimes and call for at least one interception Sunday. Jones has done an exceptional job of taking care of the ball. But he’ll face an Eagles front that led the NFL by a mile with 70 sacks and an adjusted sack rate of 11.2%. New York’s offensive line gave up the fifth-most sacks this year. I expect Jones to be under duress and taking chances as he tries to get New York out of a deficit.

Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategies - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top-rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts