2023 NFL Futures: Best PrizePicks Player Predictions
Our team of expert analysts - Andrew Erickson, Pat Fitzmaurice, Derek Brown, and Joe Pisapia - have put their collective knowledge to work, providing you with strategic insight on QB, RB, and WR PrizePicks player predictions. Additionally, we have also included their over/under picks for some of your favorite players.
Their forecasts range from passing yard expectations for quarterbacks such as Jared Goff and Aaron Rodgers to rushing yard predictions for running backs like Cam Akers and Derrick Henry and receiving yard projections for wide receivers like Chris Godwin and Davante Adams. Moreover, our experts have also shared their over/under predictions for various players, including Jaxon Smith-Njigba, DK Metcalf, and Kenny Pickett, among others.
Best 2023 NFL Futures PrizePicks Player Predictions
Here are the 2023 NFL Futures PrizePicks player predictions our featured analysts are making for QB, RB and WR. We’ve also included some additional over/under picks.
Favorite QB PrizePicks Predictions
| ANALYST | PLAYER | Over/Under | Sportsbook |
| Erickson | Jared Goff | OVER 3,999.5 Passing Yards | PrizePicks |
| Fitz | Aaron Rodgers | UNDER 4,050.5 Passing Yards | PrizePicks |
| DBro | Justin Herbert | OVER 4,625.5 Passing Yards | PrizePicks |
| Joe | Lamar Jackson | UNDER 3,625.5 Passing Yards | PrizePicks |
Jared Goff OVER 3999.5 Passing Yards
Jared Goff has thrown for more than 4,000 passing yards every single season he has started at least 16 games in. Last season with Ben Johnson as the offensive coordinator, Goff averaged 261.1 passing yards per game. Based on that average, Goff would surpass 4,000 yards in just 16 games. Pair this prop with the Amon-Ra St. Brown season-long receiving yards prop.
-Andrew Erickson
Aaron Rodgers UNDER 4050.5 Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers finished well short of this number last season with 3,695 passing yards. Now, he’s playing for the Jets, who have one of the better defenses in the NFL and probably won’t be involved in a lot of high-scoring shootouts so that Rodgers can be more of a game manager than a gunslinger. The Jets' new offensive coordinator, Nathaniel Hackett, was the Packers' OC for three seasons, from 2019 to 2021. During those three years, the Packers ranked 28th, 32nd and 32nd in offensive pace. Rodgers isn’t going to throw enough this season to hit the over on this number.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Justin Herbert OVER 4,625.5 Passing Yards
Justin Herbert has averaged 4,876.5 passing yards over the last two seasons. This is an easy over. With Kellen Moore pushing the pace and aDOT this year, Herbert could easily toss for 5,000 yards this season.
-Derek Brown
Lamar Jackson UNDER 3625.5 Passing Yards
I love Lamar this year, but that’s a big number. His previous career high in passing yards was 3,127. I understand the new OC and upgraded WRs are cause for excitement, but this would be a massive jump for Lamar with so much NEW around him.
-Joe Pisapia
Favorite RB PrizePicks Predictions
| ANALYST | PLAYER | Over/Under | Sportsbook |
| Erickson | Cam Akers | OVER 750.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks |
| Fitz | Najee Harris | OVER 999.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks |
| DBro | Derrick Henry | OVER 1,199.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks |
| Joe | Bijan Robinson | OVER 1,075.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks |
Cam Akers OVER 750.5 Rushing Yards
Cam Akers totaled 786 rushing yards last season in just 9 starts. With Matthew Stafford back at the helm and Akers entrusted as the lead dog, the polarizing rusher should easily surpass the low total, even if he misses a few games along the way. He rushed for over 500 yards in the team’s last 6 games to close out the 2022 season.
-Andrew Erickson
Najee Harris OVER 999.5 Rushing Yards
Najee Harris has cleared this number in each of his first two NFL seasons. He’s been running behind mediocre offensive lines, but Pittsburgh made significant improvements to that unit in the offseason, signing OGs Isaac Seumalo and Nate Herbig, and trading up to draft OT Broderick Jones in the first round. Najee ran for 1,034 yards in 2022 despite dealing with a sprained lisfranc early in the season. He should easily clear this number in 2023.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Derrick Henry OVER 1,199.5 Rushing Yards
I’m done with betting against Derrick Henry. He’s run for at least 1,500 yards in each of the last three seasons in which he’s played at least 15 games. Unless you think he gets injured, this line is way off. Smash the over.
-Derek Brown
Bijan Robinson OVER 1075.5 Rushing Yards
This is a high number, but all we’re asking Bijan Robinson to do with it is basically match Tyler Allgeier’s 2022 rushing total. Yeah, I’m good with that.
-Joe Pisapia
Favorite WR PrizePicks Predictions
| ANALYST | PLAYER | Over/Under | Sportsbook |
| Erickson | Chris Godwin | OVER 799.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks |
| Fitz | Davante Adams | UNDER 1,300.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks |
| DBro | Tyreek Hill | OVER 1,299.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks |
| Joe | Keenan Allen | OVER 900.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks |
Chris Godwin OVER 799.5 Receiving Yards
Chris Godwin’s fantasy football consensus projection has him pegged for 978 receiving yards, nearly 200 more than his listed PrizePicks line. Godwin has surpassed 800 yards for 5 straight seasons, despite not starting more than 14 games in any year.
-Andrew Erickson
Davante Adams UNDER 1,300.5 Receiving Yards
Davante Adams is one of the best receivers in the league, but I don’t like his chances of clearing this hefty yardage total. After spending most of his career with Aaron Rodgers and then reuniting with former college teammate Derek Carr last season, Adams will be paired with Jimmy Garoppolo, who doesn’t throw downfield very aggressively. Adams has reportedly expressed displeasure with the direction of the Raiders’ offense. Adams is 30 now, so it’s possible we see a small degree of age-related decline. I think Adams is a full fade for 2023.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Tyreek Hill OVER 1,299.5 Receiving Yards
When concocting this yardage line, the lines maker had to have a few daytime cocktails. That’s the only reasonable explanation I can come up with. Tyreek Hill’s situation hasn’t changed at all. Last season he set the league on fire with 1,710 receiving yards, and he could have had more if Tua Tagovailoa had stayed healthy.
-Derek Brown
Keenan Allen OVER 900.5 Receiving Yards
Keenan Allen was WR4 in PPG from Weeks 11-18. All he has to do is stay healthy to crush that number. Sure, last year he wasn’t healthy, so there’s some risk there. However, in terms of performance level, I have no concerns about a Keenan Allen decline in 2023.
-Joe Pisapia
NFL Futures PrizePicks Predictions: Over/Under
| Player Prediction | Over / Under | Andrew | Derek | Pat | Joe |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yards | 725.5 | Over | Over | Under | Under |
| DK Metcalf receiving yards | 999.5 | Under | Over | Under | Over |
| Kenny Pickett passing yards | 3300.5 | Under | Over | Under | Under |
| Najee Harris rushing yards | 1050.5 | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| Desmond Ridder passing yards | 2575.5 | Over | Under | Under | Over |
| Travis Etienne Jr. rushing yards | 1025.5 | Over | Under | Under | Under |
| Jahmyr Gibbs rushing yards | 625.5 | Over | Over | Over | Over |
| Russell Wilson passing yards | 3875.5 | Under | Over | Under | Under |
| Mac Jones passing TDs | 17.5 | Over | Over | Over | Over |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba UNDER 725.5 Receiving Yards
Smith-Njigba might be good enough to smash this number, but it’s possible he doesn’t get enough snaps or targets to approach it. As long as Pete Carroll is coaching the Seahawks, they’re going to run the ball at a league-average rate or higher. Seattle also tends to use a lot of two-TE sets, and when they do, it’s probably going to be D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett on the field at WR with Smith-Njigba on the bench. I just don’t know if JSN will have a big enough role to clear this number as a rookie.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
DK Metcalf UNDER 999.5 Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards just twice in his 4-year career. He narrowly squeaked over the number in 2022, finishing with 1,043 yards. It might be hard for him to replicate another 1,000-yard campaign with the addition of first-rounder Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
-Andrew Erickson
Kenny Pickett UNDER 3,300.5 Passing Yards
Pickett had some moments last year, but not enough to get me over on that number with a run-heavy Steelers attack.
-Joe Pisapia
Najee Harris OVER 1,050 Rushing Yards
Harris is one of just five RBs that project for at least 250 carries per the FantasyPros consensus projections. He has the size to take on a massive workload at 232 pounds, and the Steelers have dramatically re-tooled their offensive line, which should improve his per-carry efficiency. In the second half of last season, Harris was pacing for nearly 1300 rushing yards with 5 games shouldering 20-plus carries.
-Andrew Erickson
Desmond Ridder OVER 2,575.5 Passing Yards
Just 150 passing yards per game will get Desmond Ridder to the promised land. Think it’s a more than logical bet to make, considering Ridder averaged 177 passing yards per game in his first four starts as a rookie. He will have more passing weapons outside of Drake London and more confidence from the coaching staff to let him throw more than they ever did with Marcus Mariota. Ridder averaged nearly 256 passing yards per game at the college level.
-Andrew Erickson
Travis Etienne OVER 1,025.5 Rushing Yards
Travis Etienne hit 1,125 rushing yards in his first full NFL season despite not taking over RB1 duties until Week 7. Even if in a 60-40 split with other Jags RBs, ETN can easily his this number based on his per-carry efficiency marks from 2022.
-Andrew Erickson
Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 625.5 Rushing Yards
Granted, Gibbs probably won’t get as many carries as David Montgomery, but I think the rookie will get enough usage in the running game to clear this relatively low bar. Gibbs is an explosive playmaker, so there should be a few splash plays to help push him over the total.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Russell Wilson UNDER 3,875.5 Passing Yards
Wilson’s poor 2022 season raised some worrisome red flags. His completion percentage (60.5%) and passer rating (84.4) were the lowest of his career, and his 7.3 yards per attempt was close to a career low. Wilson’s escapability, a signature trait, may be gone — he took a career-high 55 sacks last year. I’m not sure new Saints head coach Sean Payton can reverse the slide. I’m fading Wilson in 2023.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Mac Jones OVER 17.5 Passing TDs
Mac Jones averaged just 1 passing TD/game last season in 14 games played. With the addition of Bill O’Brien and some newer personnel, he only needs to improve his TD rate slightly to FLY over 17.5 passing TDs. He threw 22 as a rookie.
-Andrew Erickson
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