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2023 Tour Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions: Emiliano Grillo

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The 2022-2023 PGA Tour season will come to a dramatic conclusion this week with the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

There's a great deal at stake for the 30 players who qualified for this event by making it through the first three tournaments of the four-week FedEx Cup Playoffs. The winner of the Tour Championship will receive $18 million and a five-year PGA Tour exemption. Second place is worth $6.5 million. Every player in the field will earn at least $500,000 for making it this far, along with a two-year PGA Tour exemption and a 2024 Masters invitation.

The Tour Championship uses a unique “starting strokes” system that rewards players based on the number of FedEx Cup points they’ve accumulated throughout the season. The FedEx Cup points leader starts at -10. The No. 2 player starts at -8, the No. 3 player starts at -7, the No. 4 player starts at -6, and the No. 5 player starts at -5. The rest of the field is sorted into groups of five, with groups starting at -4, -3, -2, -1 and even par. Bear in mind that betting odds for the Tour Championship take the starting strokes system into account.

The field features betting favorite Scottie Scheffler, reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm and defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy. Will one of the big names claim the title, or will we see a less heralded but red-hot player such as Lucas Glover or Brian Harman win at East Lake?

Let's look at the betting outlook for one of the players who'll be competing in this week's Tour Championship.

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2023 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Emiliano Grillo

Here is our betting outlook and picks for Emiliano Grillo.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Stats to Know

  • Best odds to win: +100000 (FanDuel/Caesars/PointsBet)
  • World ranking: 35
  • Best Tour Championship finish: 10 (2016)
  • Last four tournament finishes: T6, T10, T20, T31

2023 Tour Championship Betting Outlook

Grillo has been in good form over the last month, starting with a T6 finish at the Open Championship. He then recorded a T10 at the 3M Open and a T20 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship before finishing T31 at last week’s BMW Championship. Since the Travelers Championship in late June, Grillo has shot 71 or better in 20 of his last 22 rounds. The 30-year-old Argentinian will have an uphill battle in Atlanta, however, as the starting strokes system puts him at the bottom of the field.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Advice

Solid recent form makes it worth considering a top-10 bet on Grillo at +800 (DraftKings). I also like the price on Grillo to finish on top of the rest-of-the-world group in the nationality-props category (+800 on DraftKings).

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