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2023 Tour Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions: Matthew Fitzpatrick

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The 2022-2023 PGA Tour season will come to a dramatic conclusion this week with the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

There’s a great deal at stake for the 30 players who qualified for this event by making it through the first three tournaments of the four-week FedEx Cup Playoffs. The winner of the Tour Championship will receive $18 million and a five-year PGA Tour exemption. Second place is worth $6.5 million. Every player in the field will earn at least $500,000 for making it this far, along with a two-year PGA Tour exemption and a 2024 Masters invitation.

The Tour Championship uses a unique “starting strokes” system that rewards players based on the number of FedEx Cup points they’ve accumulated throughout the season. The FedEx Cup points leader starts at -10. The No. 2 player starts at -8, the No. 3 player starts at -7, the No. 4 player starts at -6, and the No. 5 player starts at -5. The rest of the field is sorted into groups of five, with groups starting at -4, -3, -2, -1 and even par. Bear in mind that betting odds for the Tour Championship take the starting strokes system into account.

The field features betting favorite Scottie Scheffler, reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm and defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy. Will one of the big names claim the title, or will we see a less heralded but red-hot player such as Lucas Glover or Brian Harman win at East Lake?

Let’s look at the betting outlook for one of the players who’ll be competing in this week’s Tour Championship.

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2023 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Matthew Fitzpatrick

Here is our betting outlook and picks for Matthew Fitzpatrick.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Stats to Know

  • Best odds to win: +5500 (FanDuel)
  • World ranking: 8
  • Best Tour Championship finish: T15 (2022)
  • Last four tournament finishes: Cut, T41, T66, T2

2023 Tour Championship Betting Outlook

The summer did not go as smoothly for Matt Fitzpatrick as he would have liked, but perhaps the tide is turning at the right time after he finished runner-up at last week’s BMW Championship with an impressive 15-under performance. When his game is on, Fitzpatrick is one of the best golfers in the world, evidenced by his T10 finish at the Masters and subsequent win at the following week’s RBC Heritage. If anyone can replicate Rory McIlroy’s six-stroke comeback at last year’s Tour Championship, perhaps it is Fitzpatrick, a guy who finished last week with a tremendous 4.29 total true strokes gained.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Advice

I will be making a play on Fitzpatrick outright at 55/1 via FanDuel. He was brilliant last week at Olympia Fields, and while a six-stroke differential is a tall task, McIlroy proved last year it is doable.

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