2023 Tour Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions: Nick Taylor

The 2022-2023 PGA Tour season will come to a dramatic conclusion this week with the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

There’s a great deal at stake for the 30 players who qualified for this event by making it through the first three tournaments of the four-week FedEx Cup Playoffs. The winner of the Tour Championship will receive $18 million and a five-year PGA Tour exemption. Second place is worth $6.5 million. Every player in the field will earn at least $500,000 for making it this far, along with a two-year PGA Tour exemption and a 2024 Masters invitation.

The Tour Championship uses a unique “starting strokes” system that rewards players based on the number of FedEx Cup points they’ve accumulated throughout the season. The FedEx Cup points leader starts at -10. The No. 2 player starts at -8, the No. 3 player starts at -7, the No. 4 player starts at -6, and the No. 5 player starts at -5. The rest of the field is sorted into groups of five, with groups starting at -4, -3, -2, -1 and even par. Bear in mind that betting odds for the Tour Championship take the starting strokes system into account.

The field features betting favorite Scottie Scheffler, reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm and defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy. Will one of the big names claim the title, or will we see a less heralded but red-hot player such as Lucas Glover or Brian Harman win at East Lake?

Let’s look at the betting outlook for one of the players who’ll be competing in this week’s Tour Championship.

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2023 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Nick Taylor

Here is our betting outlook and picks for Nick Taylor.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Stats to Know

  • Best odds to win: +150000 (FanDuel)
  • World ranking: 47
  • Best Tour Championship finish: N/A
  • Last four tournament finishes: T19, Cut, T24, 47

2023 Tour Championship Betting Outlook

A first-timer at the Tour Championship, Taylor has the longest odds in the field on some betting sites, including DraftKings and Caesars. With the starting-strokes system putting him nine strokes behind favorite Scottie Scheffler to start the tournament, betting Taylor to win would be lighting money on fire, and there’s not much reason to take him at +1100 (DraftKings) to finish in the top 10. Since the PGA Championship, Taylor has missed the cut in five of his last nine events. The Canadian rolled in a lengthy putt for a memorable playoff win over Tommy Fleetwood in the Canadian Open back in June, but Taylor has given us little reason to get excited ever since.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Advice

If you’re a Nick Taylor Fan Club member, you might consider betting him at +1100 (DraftKings) to finish on top of the rest-of-the-world group in the nationality-props category, since the starting-strokes system will put him only one shot behind Sungjae Im, Corey Conners, Tom Kim and Si Woo Kim; in a tie with Jason Day; and one shot ahead of Emiliano Grillo. But the smarter move is to fade Taylor entirely.

More 2023 Tour Championship Picks & Predictions

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