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2023 Tour Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sam Burns

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The 2022-2023 PGA Tour season will come to a dramatic conclusion this week with the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

There's a great deal at stake for the 30 players who qualified for this event by making it through the first three tournaments of the four-week FedEx Cup Playoffs. The winner of the Tour Championship will receive $18 million and a five-year PGA Tour exemption. Second place is worth $6.5 million. Every player in the field will earn at least $500,000 for making it this far, along with a two-year PGA Tour exemption and a 2024 Masters invitation.

The Tour Championship uses a unique “starting strokes” system that rewards players based on the number of FedEx Cup points they’ve accumulated throughout the season. The FedEx Cup points leader starts at -10. The No. 2 player starts at -8, the No. 3 player starts at -7, the No. 4 player starts at -6, and the No. 5 player starts at -5. The rest of the field is sorted into groups of five, with groups starting at -4, -3, -2, -1 and even par. Bear in mind that betting odds for the Tour Championship take the starting strokes system into account.

The field features betting favorite Scottie Scheffler, reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm and defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy. Will one of the big names claim the title, or will we see a less heralded but red-hot player such as Lucas Glover or Brian Harman win at East Lake?

Let's look at the betting outlook for one of the players who'll be competing in this week's Tour Championship.

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2023 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Sam Burns

Here is our betting outlook and picks for Sam Burns.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Stats to Know

  • Best Odds to win: +40000 (FanDuel, PointsBet)
  • World Ranking: 22
  • Best Tour Championship finish: T18 (2021)
  • Last 4 event finishes: CUT, T14, T52, T15

2023 Tour Championship Betting Outlook

It's been a bit of an up-and-down campaign for Sam Burns, who won the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play event in April. Since that win though, Burns has been all over the leaderboards, missing four cuts while falling outside of the top 25 in three other events.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Advice

It was already a difficult path for Burns based on his inconsistent play, but starting off at even par on Thursday should take him completely off of our outright betting radar at East Lake this week.

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