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2023 Tour Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tony Finau

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The 2022-2023 PGA Tour season will come to a dramatic conclusion this week with the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

There’s a great deal at stake for the 30 players who qualified for this event by making it through the first three tournaments of the four-week FedEx Cup Playoffs. The winner of the Tour Championship will receive $18 million and a five-year PGA Tour exemption. Second place is worth $6.5 million. Every player in the field will earn at least $500,000 for making it this far, along with a two-year PGA Tour exemption and a 2024 Masters invitation.

The Tour Championship uses a unique “starting strokes” system that rewards players based on the number of FedEx Cup points they’ve accumulated throughout the season. The FedEx Cup points leader starts at -10. The No. 2 player starts at -8, the No. 3 player starts at -7, the No. 4 player starts at -6, and the No. 5 player starts at -5. The rest of the field is sorted into groups of five, with groups starting at -4, -3, -2, -1 and even par. Bear in mind that betting odds for the Tour Championship take the starting strokes system into account.

The field features betting favorite Scottie Scheffler, reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm and defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy. Will one of the big names claim the title, or will we see a less heralded but red-hot player such as Lucas Glover or Brian Harman win at East Lake?

Let’s look at the betting outlook for one of the players who’ll be competing in this week’s Tour Championship.

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2023 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Tony Finau

Here is our betting outlook and picks for Tony Finau.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Stats to Know

  • Best odds to win: +20000 (via Caesars Sportsbook)
  • World ranking: 19
  • Best Tour Championship finish: 7 (2019)
  • Last four tournament finishes: T37, 64, T7, CUT

2023 Tour Championship Betting Outlook

Tony Finau has a ton of ground to make up if he wants to make a run at the title this weekend. He’ll start at -2, which sets him eight strokes behind Scottie Scheffler. If anyone can climb the leaderboard this weekend, it’s Finau. The American has played East Lake Golf Club exceptionally well over the years. In the inaugural year of the new format (2019), Finau bagged his best finish at the event (seventh). Last year, he had one of his best performances at the Tour Championship, going -15 and placing ninth. That was eight strokes better than his 2019 performance at East Lake.

2023 Tour Championship Betting Advice

I won’t be playing Finau as an outright winner this weekend. However, with the middle of the pack being bunched up on the scoreboard, I think there is value to be had. Based on Finau’s excellent course history, I believe he can climb into the top 10 by Sunday. Give me Finau at +300 to place inside the top 10 (via Caesars Sportsbook).

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