2023 Valero Texas Open: Best Longshot Picks & Predictions
With the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play in the rearview mirror, we now look forward to this week’s Valero Texas Open. The AT&T Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio will host this tournament once again, which it has done annually since 2010.
TPC San Antonio is a par-72, 7,494-yard track designed by Greg Norman with some input from Sergio Garcia that rewards great putters who can get off the greens quickly. Looking at the top of previous leaderboards, the metric that predicts the most success at this event is SG: Putting.
Below, I will give out my two best longshot bets to win the 2023 Valero Texas Open.
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2023 Valero Texas Open: Best Longshot Bets
These plays are 0.2u and 0.1u, or 0.2% and 0.1% of your betting bankroll.
Andrew Putnam (+5500 via BetMGM): 0.2u
The first golfer we are targeting this week is Andrew Putnam, who currently sits at 55/1 at BetMGM. Now is the time to buy low on Putnam, who missed four of his last five cuts prior to last week’s WGC match play event.
In that tournament, he finished T9 in a performance that could turn things back around for the Washington native. Prior to his cold streak, Putnam kicked off the season with 10 straight made cuts, including his T2 finish at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP and T4 finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii.
The main reason for that impressive start was Putnam’s tremendous putting. This season, he ranks seventh on TOUR in SG: Putting.
Therefore, it is not surprising that Putnam has found success at TPC San Antonio. Not only has Putnam made 4-of-5 cuts at this tournament in his career, but he posted an eighth-place finish here in 2018.
Perhaps last week’s solid play at the match play event will turn things back around for Putnam, and considering his strong putting and previous results at this course, it is worth taking a shot at him to earn his second career TOUR victory at 55/1.
Sam Ryder (+7000 via PointsBet): 0.1u
Another golfer to target this week is Sam Ryder, who sits at 70/1 at PointsBet. Entering this tournament in tremendous form, Ryder has made five of his last six cuts and currently sits in 60th place in the FedEx Cup Standings.
Of those five made cuts, he boasts four top-20 finishes, including his T4 finish at the Farmers Insurance Open. The main reason for this recent success is Ryder’s stellar putting.
One of the best putters on TOUR this season, Ryder ranks fourth in SG: Putting, which should lead to yet another strong performance this week at TPC San Antonio. Making the cut in two of his four appearances in this tournament, it is worth taking a stab at one of the TOUR’s best putters to continue his hot streak this week at 70/1.
Other Outright Plays:
- Chris Kirk (+2800 via DraftKings): 0.4u
- Brendon Todd (+5000 via FanDuel): 0.3u
Best of luck!
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Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.