2024 Australian Open Odds, Picks & Predictions: Daniil Medvedev

For the second time in the last three years, Novak Djokovic won three of the four majors in a calendar year, and he started that run of dominance at the Australian Open. Djokovic cashed for bettors who were willing to back him at short +110 pre-tournament odds, and his odds are short once again, considering he has won each of the previous four Australian Opens he has participated in (Djokovic was ineligible in 2022 after not being vaccinated against COVID-19).

The odds leaderboard was altered slightly after Rafael Nadal was thought to be ready to make his return to the first Grand Slam of the year after winning it in 2022, but he withdrew after suffering a hip injury and a small muscle tear in Brisbane and is focused on rest and rehabbing to be back in time for the French Open.

Stan Wawrinka is the only other men’s player in the field with an Australian Open title to his name, but that came back in 2014. Can anyone else win their maiden Australian Open title, or is Djokovic winning a record 11th a mere formality? Let’s take a look at our picks and predictions for Daniil Medvedev.

2024 Australian Open Best Bets & Picks: Daniil Medvedev

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev disappointingly lost in the third round of last year’s Australian Open, following back-to-back runner-up finishes in 2021 and 2022. His 66 match victories last year were the most of any player on tour, and at one point won three consecutive titles, with his most prominent and perhaps surprising victory coming in Rome on clay. Medvedev clearly prefers hard-court surfaces, as he has appeared in three of the last five US Open finals (winning in 2021), and his 83% and 75% winning percentages at the US Open and Australian Open are his two best of the four Grand Slams. He should have the confidence to beat anyone on hard courts, especially after one of his most impressive victories last year coming in a straight-set victory at Dubai over Novak Djokovic, which ended Djokovic’s 15-match winning streak to start the season.

Betting Advice & Pick: Medvedev played 84 matches last season, more than any player on tour, so we prefer those with fresher legs to back in terms of future plays.

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