2024 Australian Open Odds, Picks & Predictions: Novak Djokovic

For the second time in the last three years, Novak Djokovic won three of the four majors in a calendar year, and he started that run of dominance at the Australian Open. Djokovic cashed for bettors who were willing to back him at short +110 pre-tournament odds, and his odds are short once again, considering he has won each of the previous four Australian Opens he has participated in (Djokovic was ineligible in 2022 after not being vaccinated against COVID-19).

The odds leaderboard was altered slightly after Rafael Nadal was thought to be ready to make his return to the first Grand Slam of the year after winning it in 2022, but he withdrew after suffering a hip injury and a small muscle tear in Brisbane and is focused on rest and rehabbing to be back in time for the French Open.

Stan Wawrinka is the only other men’s player in the field with an Australian Open title to his name, but that came back in 2014. Can anyone else win their maiden Australian Open title, or is Djokovic winning a record 11th a mere formality? Let’s take a look at our picks and predictions for Novak Djokovic.

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2024 Australian Open Best Bets & Picks: Novak Djokovic

Prediction: Djokovic’s 10 Australian Open victories are four more than the next two players (Roy Emerson and Roger Federer each won six), and the only man in history to win more titles at a single Grand Slam event is Rafael Nadal with 14 at the French Open. The door opened slightly for all other players in the field, when Djokovic lost to Alex De Minaur in the United Cup quarterfinals, as he was clearly hampered by a wrist injury in the 4-6, 4-6 straight set defeat. The loss ended Djokovic’s 43-match winning streak in Australia (a span of six years), and bettors will have to determine if the 10 days between the De Minaur match and the start of the Australian Open is enough to heal his wrist, or if it is something that will hamper him the entire tournament.

Betting Advice & Pick: Wrist injury aside, Djokovic still has a 28-match winning streak at the Australian Open. If he makes it to the semifinals, it could more or less be lights out for the rest of the field, as he is 20-0 in Australian Open semifinals and finals in his career, and should not be overlooked just because of his short odds from winning an 11th Australian Open. The best way to play Djokovic would either be to win outright, or to be upset before the semifinals.

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