2024 French Open Picks: Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Casper Ruud
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The 2024 French Open begins this weekend, and it should be another exciting tennis major. The top names will be on display across the 2024 French Open, and we’ll see who is able to take the title on clay for this year. Read on for our top three picks for the 2024 Men’s French Open winner.
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2024 French Open Odds & Picks: Men’s Best Bets
The backdrop in the Men’s Draw entering the 2024 French Open is that this will be Rafael Nadal’s last time competing at Roland Garros. The “King of Clay†has won 14 of his 22 Grand Slam titles in this major, and he is a perfect 14-0 in finals on clay at Roland Garros. The Spaniard is playing in the event for the first time since 2022 after missing it in 2023 for the first time because of injury.
Nadal and Novak Djokovic have dominated this event of late, as only one other man (Stan Wawrinka in 2015) has won the French Open title since 2010. However, several others have knocked at the door, as seven different men have made the final in that span.
Djokovic needs to at least reach the finals to stay ranked as World No. 1, otherwise that honor will go to Jannik Sinner after the tournament.
There is no clear-cut favorite at Roland Garros, as the four biggest clay-court tournaments this season have produced four different winners, and many of the players atop the odds leaderboards are dealing with injuries. So are bettors in for a decent payout if they can identify the correct eventual French Open champions?
Here are the current 2024 French Open Winner odds along with our top three picks to win the 2024 French Open.
2024 Men’s French Open Winner Odds
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
PLAYER | ODDS |
Carlos Alcaraz | +260 |
Novak Djokovic | +300 |
Jannik Sinner | +500 |
Alexander Zverev | +700 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas | +900 |
Casper Ruud | +1400 |
Daniil Medvedev | +2800 |
Andrey Rublev | +2800 |
Rafael Nadal | +2800 |
Top 2024 French Open Winners Picks: Men
Jannik Sinner (+500)
When healthy, no Men's player has played better tennis this season than Jannik Sinner. Sinner won his first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open, and also added to his trophy case at the Rotterdam Open and Miami Open. He will be heavily motivated to secure the first World No. 1 ranking by an Italian player, needing only Novak Djokovic not to reach the final to do so.
Sinner is a prohibitive favorite to win his quarter and reach the semifinals, as big servers like Christopher Eubanks (his first round opponent), Nicolas Jarry (possible fourth round opponent) and Hubert Hurkacz (possible quarterfinal opponent) are his biggest threats. However, those opponents would be more feared on grass or hard courts, as clay tends to neutralize a big service game the most of any surface. From there, a possible semifinal matchup against Carlos Alcaraz awaits, but Sinner is 4-4 against the Spaniard, and won their only meeting on clay at the Umag final in 2022.
Sinner is likely just scratching the surface of his potential, and he and Alcaraz have often been mentioned as the two to take over the sport in the post “Big Three†era. We see no reason why the Italian cannot make it back-to-back Grand Slam titles at Roland Garros.
Alexander Zverev (+700)
Alexander Zverev has an excellent opportunity to cash in on his first ever French Open title, having made the semifinals at Roland Garros each of the previous three years. He has had success in the clay-court season leading up to this major, as he won his second Rome title (in his third final) while dropping just one set throughout. That was his sixth Masters 1000 title, which is now tied for the ninth-most of all-time. Zverev served masterfully in the final against Nicolas Jarry, winning 95% (37/39) of his first-service points, and never facing a break-point or going to deuce in 11 service games in the match.
The win was ultra important for Zverev, who rose from fifth to fourth in the ATP rankings, and as a result, avoids the top three Men's seeds before the semifinals. However, the draw did not break entirely Zverev's way, as a first round match against Nadal, who is 112-3 in his career at Roland Garros, awaits. However, perhaps a matchup with Nadal is exactly what Zverev needs to get over the mental hurdle of his gruesome ankle injury in his French Open semifinal match against the Spaniard, and a win over a 22-time Grand Slam champion should boost all the confidence he needs to propel him through the next six matches.
With Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Jannik Sinner all having missed some tournaments earlier this season with nagging injuries, Zverev's +700 odds are excellent value.
Casper Ruud (+1400)
While several of the Men’s top seeds were cautious about their workload and schedules leading up to the French Open because of lingering injuries, No. 7 seed Casper Ruud took the opposite approach and kept himself busy at the ATP Geneva event this past week (as of this writing he is through to the semifinals where he faces Flavio Cobolli).
For Ruud to make the semifinals this year, he would like have to go through Novak Djokovic in the quarterfinals, but Ruud got the monkey off his back with his first win in six head-to-head matchups against the World No. 1 in their latest meeting, a three-set thriller in the semifinals of Monte Carlo this year.
Ruud has lost in straight sets in back-to-back French Open finals to Djokovic and Nadal, but he pushed Nadal to a first set tiebreak and lost 7-5 in the third set. While Ruud has been inconsistent on clay this season (he was 13-4 on clay entering this week), he did win the ATP 500 event in Barcelona, beating Tsitsipas in the final.
It is not often one can back a player off consecutive finals in a tournament at +1400 odds, and considering the two men he lost to are nowhere near their former levels, those odds become much more enticing.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.