2024 NFL Futures Bets: Super Bowl LIX Odds, Picks & Predictions
The Kansas City Chiefs ended the longest drought between repeat Super Bowl champions (19 years) with a dramatic 25-22 overtime victory over the San Francisco 49ers. The Chiefs have not yet been Super Bowl champions for even 24 hours, but already we are looking at the futures odds for next year’s Super Bowl champions, as there is great value to be had with many teams.
This time last year the Chiefs had +600 odds (best) and the 49ers had +900 odds (tied for the third-best). With the Chiefs winning, that now makes seven of the last 11 winners having shorter than +1000 preseason odds. While we are not banking on any team overcoming historical odds like the 1999 Los Angeles Rams (+15000) who had the longest preseason odds of any Super Bowl champions, we will analyze one team lower on the odds list that could cash in a big payday for bettors.
A lot will change between now and the start of next season, as the NFL Draft has yet to take place and several key players will alter teams’ outlooks in free agency. However, we will do our best prognosticating as we offer a trio of best bets to win Super Bowl LIX at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Super Bowl LIX Odds
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
| TEAM | ODDS |
| San Francisco 49ers | +550 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +750 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +900 |
| Buffalo Bills | +950 |
| Detroit Lions | +1200 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1200 |
| Miami Dolphins | +1700 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +2000 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2000 |
2024 NFL Futures Bets: Super Bowl LIX Picks & Predictions
Detroit Lions (+1200)
The Detroit Lions were one second-half collapse away from reaching the Super Bowl this season, but instead, the 49ers came back from a 24-7 halftime deficit in the NFC Championship, completing the third-largest comeback in championship game history.
Detroit has arguably the most impressive backfield in the league, as David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs were the first running back duo in NFL history to total 1,000 or more scrimmage yards and 10 or more touchdowns each. Pessimists would argue that the Lions benefitted from an out-of-division schedule that saw road games in domed environments at the Chargers, Saints, Vikings, and Cowboys. However, Detroit’s running game should allow it to be successful outdoors in the postseason if need be.
Lions head coach Dan Campbell was widely ridiculed for his two questionable fourth down decisions in the NFC Championship. Detroit had two turnovers on downs inside the 49ers 30-yard line, which cost the team a -18% win probability. However, Campbell’s aggressiveness paid off in spades throughout the season, as Detroit added a +63% Win Probability on fourth down this season, which was the fourth-best in the NFL).
And for those that are not willing to put Jared Goff in the elite tier of quarterbacks, he has Super Bowl experience with the Los Angeles Rams, and finished the regular season second among all quarterbacks in passing yards (4,575) and fourth in touchdown passes (30).
The Lions made history with their second ever NFC Championship Game appearance, and they are a great value play to add to that franchise history with their first Super Bowl title next season.
Cincinnati Bengals (+1200)
The Cincinnati Bengals are the only one of our three Super Bowl picks for next season that did not make the playoffs this year, but them being firmly entrenched in the top 10 of all futures odds leaderboards suggest the future is bright with Joe Burrow healthy under center all season.
Cincinnati finished 9-8 and knocked on the door of playoff contention despite getting just 10 games out of Burrow. The Bengals’ winning record looks even more impressive when considering they played in an AFC North where all four teams finished over .500, and three made the playoffs. Unlike the other two teams on this list, the Bengals have some serious financial decisions to mull over, like whether or not to place the franchise tag on wide receiver Tee Higgins, and fellow wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase being eligible for an extension. However, Cincinnati is also in a good spot with with sixth-most projected cap space for next season, and picking 18th in the draft should also help them sure up their offensive line woes.
It will be difficult to dethrone the Chiefs in the AFC, but Joe Burrow is one of two quarterbacks (Tom Brady is the other) to have beaten Patrick Mahomes in the playoff, and the bar is still high if No. 9 can stay healthy all season.
Dallas Cowboys (+2000)
The Cowboys were one of the most dominant teams we have ever seen at home in the regular season, going 8-0 and winning those contests by an average of 21.5 points per game. In its home games, Dallas led the league in points per game, offensive yards gained per game, and turnover differential, and finished the regular season tied with the 2007 New England Patriots for the sixth-best home point differential in NFL history. Thus, it is mind boggling that the Cowboys’ season ended at home in a disappointing 48-32 Divisional Round loss to the Green Bay Packers. But at some point, a prolific offense combined with a defense that ranked fifth in yards per game and scoring should eventually contribute to more postseason success.
The Cowboys have not had an NFC Championship Game appearance this century, and their 28-year drought without reaching the conference championship is the second-longest active streak behind the Washington Commanders’ 32-year drought. However, the lack of postseason success aside, this is still a team that has gone 12-5 in three straight seasons, and has several key positions returning, including their quarterback/head coach combination of Dak Prescott and Mike McCarthy. Prescott went from being tied for the league lead in interceptions two years ago to leading the NFL in touchdowns (36) this past season, so there is an awful lot to like about Dallas entering next season.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archiveand follow him @MikeSpector01.