2024 Super Bowl Odds & Picks: Top Teaser Bets (49ers vs. Chiefs)
The big game's just a few days out, which means we're approaching crunch time to lock in valuable bets! Below I'll touch on how to bet a teaser for Super Bowl LVIII, as well as recommend the two legs that I'm pairing together.
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Best Super Bowl LVIII Teaser Bets
Odds courtesy of PointsBet Sportsbook
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers (-2) | O/U 47.5
Throughout the season you're allowed to take multiple point spreads and totals and move them several points in either direction. This is called a teaser. In football, your standard teaser bet moves 6.0 points in either direction, while basketball teasers move 4.0 points. However, most sportsbooks have rules that you cannot tease two legs from the same game, and that's because sides and totals can be correlated, putting the oddsmakers at a disadvantage.
So, you likely won't see a "Teaser" tab on your sportsbook app for the Super Bowl, and some shops won't even let you use the workaround method that I'll be talking about in a moment. Luckily, PointsBet Sportsbook offers Same Game Parlays (SGP), where you can pair two alternate lines (i.e. the spread and the total) from the same game.
I was able to craft a SGP at PointsBet where I bumped the total up 6.0 points while moving the Chiefs up 6.5 points. The standard teaser payout is usually -120, so we're getting an extra 0.5 points on Kansas City for only an extra five cents. To recap, our teaser (or SPG in this case) moves from "Chiefs +2.0 and Under 47.5" to “Chiefs +8.5 and Under 53.5 (-125)".
As for my thoughts on the game itself and why I think these are the best teaser legs, I'm anticipating a conservative, lower-scoring affair on Sunday.
For the Chiefs, that has been the recipe all season. This is probably Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes' worst receiving corps that they've had to work with, yet they've still managed to make it to the big game. Kansas City has transitioned into being a run-heavy/short-pass offense this year considering they averaged only 5.5 yards per play in the regular season (9th).
It has been all about defense for the Chiefs. They bring in the second-best defense in the league, conceding only 16.8 points per game. Kansas City also ranked second in yards allowed per pass attempt, sitting at 5.4 yards per opposing pass attempt.
On the flip side, I expect Kyle Shanahan to take the load off Brock Purdy's shoulders as much as possible. I think we see a ton of Christian McCaffrey, and even get a mix of Deebo Samuel into the run game. All of this is a long-winded way of me saying that I don't anticipate a ton of scoring in this year's Super Bowl.
As for the side, I think it boils down to a couple of key factors. For starters, I'll take Patrick Mahomes getting a full possession's worth of points in any game. He and Coach Reid hardly ever lose, and it's rarely by more than a touchdown. As a matter of fact, going back to the middle of 2021, Kansas City has only lost by nine points or more on one occasion! They've played 53 regular and postseason games over that span, and only one has resulted in a nine-plus-point defeat. That's a 98.1% trend! So, I'd say we're pretty safe teasing the Chiefs, especially when they're an underdog.
Furthermore, I believe the Chiefs have the more reliable kicker in Harrison Butker. Every point matters, so if San Francisco's Jake Moody (3-for-5 this postseason) misses another field goal, that'll favor us in a big way. Finally, it's the coaching, and I've already mentioned Andy Reid several times. He's one of the best to ever do it, and I believe he'll put his team in a position to at least keep this game inside of a touchdown margin.
Let's lock in the Chiefs +8.5 and pair it with the under 53.5 points.
Best Teaser Bet: Chiefs +8.5, Under 53.5 (-125)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday: