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2024 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Rory McIlroy

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The PGA Tour season comes to an end this week with the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

It's the final event of the three-event FedEx Cup Playoffs. At stake: the honor of being the FedEx Cup champion and a whole lot of money. The winner of the Tour Championship receives $25 million and a five-year PGA Tour exemption. Second place is worth $12.5 million. Every player in the 30-man field will earn at least $550,000.

The Tour Championship uses a unique "starting strokes" system that rewards players based on the number of FedEx Cup points accumulated so far this season. FedEx Cup points leader Scottie Scheffler will start at -10. No. 2 player Xander Schauffele starts at -8, No. 3 Hideki Matsuyama starts at -7, No. 4 Keegan Bradley starts at -6, and No. 5 Ludvig Aberg starts at -5. The rest of the field is sorted into groups of five, with groups starting at -4, -3, -2, -1 and even par. Bear in mind that betting odds for the Tour Championship take the starting strokes system into account.

Let's take a closer look at our top 2024 Tour Championship odds and picks for Rory McIlroy.

2024 Tour Championship Odds & Picks: Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy Stats to Know

  • Best Odds to Win: +2200 (BetRivers)
  • World Ranking: 3
  • Best Tour Championship finish: 1 (2022, 2019, 2016)
  • Last four Tour Championship finishes: 4, 1, 14, 8
  • Last four tournament finishes: 11, 68, 5, CUT

Rory McIlroy Tour Championship Course History

No one has more Tour Championship victories than Rory McIlroy. In 10 appearances, the Northern Ireland native has three wins, two top-five finishes and three top-10 finishes. However, it’s been an up-and-down ride for the 35-year-old since his U.S. Open collapse at Valhalla. A +9 (289) finish at the FedEx St. Jude Classic in Memphis was an extremely poor performance by McIlroy’s standards. He also let his frustrations get the best of him last week, tossing his driver in the water on Friday and snapping his driver shaft on Sunday. Keeping his emotions in check this week will be critical.

Rory McIlroy Recent Form

McIlroy seems to be mentally out of sorts since the U.S. Open meltdown. A missed cut at The Open Championship after a promising T4 at the Scottish Open suggests that one of the world’s best is struggling in pressure situations. Starting six shots back might be just what the Irishman needs. He’ll be far enough behind the leaders that the spotlight won’t be on him right out of the gate. The comfort of East Lake and how well he’s performed here may be just what he needs to get his game back in elite form.

Rory McIlroy 2024 Tour Championship Betting Outlook

McIlroy is worth looking at to win based on his track record in this event. That, along with the fact he’s not the favorite and facing immense pressure as he has in recent major championships, makes me think we might be in store for a classic McIlroy master class. Feel free to back him in all markets, but do it cautiously.

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