2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open Longshot Odds, Picks, & Predictions

Longshot winners have happened at a fairly frequent rate on the 2025 PGA Tour circuit, so we’re in a good spot heading into the 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open this week. Memorial Park Golf Course has seen some longshots come through with an outright win in recent years, ranging from last year’s winner, Stephan Jaeger, to Jason Kokrak in 2022 and Carlos Ortiz in 2021.

We’re not giving up on longshot golfers, despite the lack of success thus far. I’ve got two golfers who have the skillset to climb the leaderboard at the Texas Children’s Houston Open to contend for an outright win on Sunday afternoon. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly PGA Tour analysis.

2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open: Best Longshot Bets

These plays are .25u and .10u, or 0.25% and 0.10% of your betting bankroll. All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Jake Knapp (+8000)

Jake Knapp is a trendy pick in various betting markets this week, likely due to his powerful driver on a course that runs over 7,400 yards like Memorial Park. Knapp’s missed cut at the Valspar Championship shouldn’t be overly concerning, especially since it snapped a four-event streak of top-25 finishes. This included a T6 at the Cognizant Classic where Knapp had a mid-round implosion on Sunday to drop him out of the lead.

At 80-1, we’re getting solid value on Knapp to win his first PGA Tour event of the season. He’s been in a good position a few times this year, most recently at PGA National. A missed cut at Memorial Park a year ago isn’t encouraging, yet I’m willing to invest in a golfer who ranks 43rd in driving distance, 11th in strokes gained putting, and 19th on approach shots from 200+ yards at the Houston Open this week.

Windy conditions are expected, yet I’m still bullish on the power-hitter and putting prowess to come through for Knapp to give us a chance to cash his 80-1 odds for an outright win. Let’s bet a quarter unit (0.25U) on Knapp to avenge his meltdown at the Cognizant Classic a few weeks ago at a course that’s a bit more forgiving for longer hitters.

Patrick Fishburn (+17000)

A lesser known name than Jake Knapp, Patrick Fishburn has had a rollercoaster season in 2025. The 32-year-old American began his campaign with a T6 finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii back in mid-January. That was followed by four consecutive missed cuts, a T48-T54 stretch, then another missed cut and a T28 at the Valspar Championship.

So why do I like Fishburn at 170-1? He’s a bomber. 45th in driving distance, 56th in scoring average, and 57th in strokes gained putting. He’s endured a lot of issues with his approach game and driving accuracy, but this should be masked a bit by short rough and wider Ryegrass fairways in Houston.

Last year, Fishburn missed the cut at +2. I’m still willing to sprinkle a 0.10 unit wager on him to grab 17 units of profit at this price if he winds up climbing the leaderboard with his strong off-the-tee game.

Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.