2025 Valero Texas Open: Picks & Golf Predictions

Take advantage of the last PGA Tour tournament before The Masters by joining Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer for their 2025 Valero Texas Open picks! Will Patrick Cantlay (18-1) cash their best golf bets of the week? What has changed about Akshay Bhatia’s (25-1) putting game that makes him a value at TPC San Antonio this week?

Plus, can longshots Tom Hoge (90-1) or Ryo Hisatsune (120-1) climb the leaderboard? Our discussion includes updated odds, expert parlays, strategic one-and-done picks, a comprehensive look at the field, and a deep dive into the course’s unique characteristics. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to golf betting, our insights will help you make informed decisions.

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• Tournament Winner Odds

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2025 Valero Texas Open Best Bets & Predictions

• Course: TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course
• Par: 72 | Yardage: 7,438 yards
• Defending Champion: Akshay Bhatia (-20 in 2024, defeated Denny McCarthy in a playoff)

Course Overview - TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course)

• Design: Greg Norman

• Layout: Long, firm, and fast; forgiving rough but tricky greens

• Greens: Fast and tough to hold on approaches

• Key Stats:

  • Ball striking

  • Approach play

  • Short game (scrambling, chipping, putting)

• Notable Holes:

  • Par-3 16th with bunker in middle of green

  • Par-4 17th (drivable with the right wind)

  • Par-5 18th (591 yards; birdie opportunity)

• Weather Forecast:

  • Thurs-Fri: Hot (low 90s), 5-10 mph wind

  • Sat-Sun: Cooler (70s), breezy 10-20 mph

  • Rain/storm risk: Friday & Saturday

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🏆 Key Betting Notes:

• Final Masters qualifying chance: Winner gets a spot in Augusta

• Historically favors strong iron players and those who thrive in windy, firm conditions

• Winning scores often around -18 to -20, depending on conditions

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?'? Top Outright Picks

🧠 Bo McBrayer's Card:

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🧠 Pat Fitzmaurice's Card:

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?"? Fades & Concerns:

• Ludvig Åberg (+1200) - Overpriced, short game issues

• Tom Kim - Great on approach, but only one top 10 in 2025

• Ricky Fowler - Poor ball striking metrics

• Charlie Hoffman - Long track record here, but not in form

• JJ Spaun - Former champ, but skipping this year for unknown reasons

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?"? One & Done Picks:

2025 Valero Texas Open Timestamps:

• Introduction – 0:00:00
• Texas Children’s Open – 00:00:21
• TPC San Antonio Breakdown – 00:04:46
• The Favorite – 00:12:16
• Patrick Cantlay – 00:13:21
• Akshay Bhatia – 00:13:45
• Ludvig Åberg – 00:14:48
• Tommy Fleetwood – 00:15:06
• Corey Conners – 00:15:37
• Daniel Berger – 00:16:57
• Mid Range – 00:17:07
• Bud Cauley – 00:17:47
• Ryan Gerard – 00:18:13
• Charley Hoffman – 00:18:49
• Tom Kim – 00:19:10
• Sam Stevens – 00:19:30
• Gary Woodland – 00:19:44
• Chris Kirk – 00:19:58
• Isaiah Salinda – 00:20:29
• Ryo Hisatsune – 00:20:57
• Kris Ventura – 00:21:17
• Tom Hoge – 00:21:38
• Steven Fisk – 00:21:58
• Henrik Norlander – 00:22:27
• Betting Cards – 00:22:42
• One And Done – 00:23:49
• Outro – 00:25:06

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What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

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