2025 WM Phoenix Open Longshot Odds, Picks, & Predictions
The 2025 WM Phoenix Open is set to tee off from TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course in Scottsdale, Arizona on Thursday morning. Scottie Scheffler has dominated this event in recent years, winning back-to-back in 2022 and 2023, before logging a T3 in 2024. Last year’s winner, Nick Taylor, previously went runner-up in 2023 before tying an 18-hole record in Round 1 with a 60 on this par 71 track.
Scheffler is the World No. 1 golfer and getting a massive amount of respect from oddsmakers in this field of 132 golfers. He’s currently +280 to win his third WM Phoenix Open event, with a massive gap between him and the next few golfers, which resumes with Justin Thomas at +1200 odds and Hideki Matsuyama at +1600 odds. Despite all signs pointing toward Scheffler winning, we’ll be looking at a couple of longshot prospects to sprinkle on in the outright winner betting market ahead of Round 1 at the WM Phoenix Open.
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2025 WM Phoenix Open: Best Longshot Bets
These plays are .25u, or 0.25% of your betting bankroll. All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.
Nick Taylor (+6500)
After missing consecutive cuts at the WM Phoenix Open in 2021 and 2022, Nick Taylor recorded a runner-up finish and an outright win in each of the past two events held at TPC Scottsdale. The Canadian already has an outright win at the Sony Open in 2025 and ranks 23rd in total strokes gained, including eighth on approach, 18th in driving accuracy, and 10th at finding greens in regulation.
He’s ranked 31st in putting average, 20th in scoring average, 32nd on par 4 holes, and 19th in birdie average per round (5.00) in 2025. At 65-1, the defending champion is not getting nearly enough credit for how he’s played at TPC Scottsdale since 2023. We’re obligated to stake a quarter unit on Taylor at this price as he looks to become the third golfer to go back-to-back at the WM Phoenix Open in the past decade, which is a feat we’ve seen Hideki Matsuyama and Scottie Scheffler achieve.
Lucas Glover (+8000)
At 80-1, I’m all over Lucas Glover following a strong performance at Pebble Beach. The putter has improved for Glover but his iron game is remarkably strong. Glover ranks 12th in total strokes gained, including 12th on approach, 27th putting, and eighth in driving accuracy.
The South Carolina native also ranks 31st in hole proximity, 14th in scrambling, and 21st in scoring average. His improved putter gives Glover a significant edge at this price to climb the leaderboard and contend on Sunday. In past appearances, Glover has carded finishes of T39 and 37th but his flat stick cooperating, paired with quality off-the-tee and approach skills, makes him one of my favorite longshot golfers to win for the first time at the WM Phoenix Open.
Let’s sprinkle one more 0.25 unit wager on Glover to win at 80-1 and secure 20 units of profit.
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