2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament Predictions: Final Four (Friday)
With three No. 1 seeds and a No. 1 seed in the Final Four, fans can rest assured of one thing: They will see some great, competitive basketball. That doesn't make it any easier to bet on, of course. But I am here to help with my best bets for the 2025 NCAA Women’s Tournament Final Four.
There are plenty of winning bets you can make on these games. The following are my favorites.
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Best Women’s NCAA Tournament Final Four Bets
No. 1 Texas Longhorns (+180) vs. No. 1 South Carolina Gamecocks (-4.5) | O/U 124.5
(Odds courtesy of BetMGM)
- Time: 7:00 p.m. EST
- Coverage: ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN+
Texas vs. South Carolina Picks & Predictions
Either team could win this game, and it may or may not be close. It will all depend on who has a better day. I know that is frustratingly general, but that is with good reason. South Carolina has dominated Texas twice in two relatively low-scoring games, and the Longhorns’ win was also a low-scoring affair. Both are solid shooting teams and defend well.
If there is something one team is good at, so is the other. The same is true regarding things they are not good at, i.e., three-point shooting. But they are both aware of this and don't even attempt too many. Neither plays at a fast enough pace to run up the score two points at a time, so we should see a low-scoring game.
Will the game total go under? Neither scored 60 points in their Elite Eight game, and they're playing tougher defenses in this game.
Pick: Under 124.5 Points (-110)
Texas vs. South Carolina Same-Game Parlay
(Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Chloe Kitts to score 10+ points is the only South Carolina player prop I'd go with because she is the only player who has been close to consistent on the scoreboard (10, 10, 15, and 14 points). But it isn't worth the risk as a standalone bet at -290 odds.
So we can combine it with the game total under and build a same-game parlay (SGP) with some value.
Parlay Odds: +172
No. 2 UConn Huskies (-7.5) vs. No. 1 UCLA Bruins (+340) | O/U 135.5
(Odds courtesy of BetMGM)
- Time: 9:00 p.m. EST
- Coverage: ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN+
UConn vs. UCLA Player Props
Paige Bueckers was the preseason favorite to win the John R. Wooden Award, but didn't quite play well enough to follow through on that. However, had she played all season, like she has in the last three games of the tournament, they'd consider renaming the award after her.
She scored 34 points against South Dakota State, 40 points against Oklahoma and 31 points versus USC. UCLA will arguably be the toughest defense she has faced all tournament, but I don't think that matters with how she's playing. If you are OK with the risk, you can also take her to score 30+ points at DraftKings Sportsbooks at +215 odds, but we’ll play it safe with her 25.5 over/under.
Pick: Paige Bueckers Over 25.5 Points (+100)
UConn vs. UCLA Picks & Predictions
(Odds via bet365)
UCLA was the No. 1 team for most of the season. They may not be flashy, but they play good, solid basketball that is tough to beat on any given night. As well as they've played, they should consider it an insult that the Huskies are such heavy favorites. But the Huskies are the definition of having a hot hand. They have the No. 1 defense in the land and a top-10 offense.
That’s a lot for any one team to overcome, hence winning each round of the tournament by double-digit points.
I'm not calling this an advisable bet, but it has the most value. There is no value in taking the UConn Moneyline, and I'm not 100% certain they can cover a 7.5-point spread against a very good UCLA team or that the Bruins will stay within 7.5 points.
Pick: UCLA Moneyline (+350)
UConn vs. UCLA Game Props
(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)
After watching and following UCLA all season, I can see the Bruins outright winning or at least keeping it close. But I think I'm operating with a little bias. However, I can't deny how well the Huskies are playing. UConn could easily take this game by eight, nine or 10 points. However, after watching them beat USC by 14 points, I'd suggest giving the 11-15 margin block some serious thought, too.
Picks: UConn to Win by 6-10 Points (+390) & UConn to Win by 11-15 Points (+490)