Navigate

49ers vs. Seahawks: NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay Predictions (Week 15)

by |

On Thursday, the 49ers and Seahawks will square off in a pivotal NFC West showdown. The 49ers come it at 9-4 and are looking to solidify a Division title, while the Seahawks enter at 7-6, fighting for a Wild Card spot with an outside shot at a division title if they win. 

With the 49ers favored by 3.5 points on the road and a total of 43.5 points, this should be a close game. This three-leg parlay offered on Draftkings Sportsbook has enough value that I’ll be playing it Thursday night.

View our Pick of the Day in the BettingPros mobile app (free!) >>

Leg 1: Seahawks +6.5 (-185)

The 49ers come into this game hot and they’re the better team on paper. That said, I think the Seahawks are poised to make this a competitive game and stay within six points of San Francisco.

While 49ers QB Brock Purdy played extremely well last week in a dominating win over the Buccaneers, it’ll be a tall task for him to continue to roll this week. The 49ers got up big early against Tampa Bay, and they were able to sit on their lead and play conservatively as their defense shut down the Bucs. Purdy played about as well as anyone could have hoped for, but laying 3.5 points in a road divisional matchup against a desperate rival on a short week feels like an overreaction.

The 49ers are a fantastic team, and there’s a very good chance they win this game. But in a game with a relatively low total, I think the Seahawks will at least keep things close. They need this game more, their offense has played well lately, and I won’t be surprised if Brock Purdy comes back down to earth on Thursday night.

Leg 2: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD (-145)

I think Seattle will hang with the 49ers in this game. That doesn’t mean the 49ers’ offense will be completely shut down though. Christian McCaffrey has been a machine on offense this year, scoring TDs in four of his last six games. Against Seattle, who’s allowed the second-most TDs to opposing RBs this season (16 in 13 games), I expect McCaffrey’s hot streak to continue.

McCaffery has 12 red zone opportunities in the last three weeks, in an offense designed to get him into space behind an exceptional offensive line. I expect the 49ers to use the run game as a crutch for Purdy, and to find success doing so against a poor Seattle run defense. Given McCaffery’s track record and workload this season, the odds for him to score don’t feel short enough.

I also believe Seattle will be able to cover the 6.5-point alternate spread even if McCaffery scores – they have matchups they may be able to take advantage of on offense, and I don’t think the 49ers’ passing game will be able to do much damage without Deebo Samuel.

Leg 3: DK Metcalf O64.5 Receiving Yards (-130)

After a down season last year, DK Metcalf is having an exceptional campaign in 2022. He’s heating up in recent weeks, seeing at least eight targets in 5 of his last 6 games. In these five games, he’s averaging 83 yards on 7.2 catches per game. Against San Francisco, Seattle’s best chance of finding offensive production is their passing game.

While the 49ers have a very good pass defense, they have an even better rush defense. With Seattle’s RBs (Kenneth Walker III and Travis Homer) coming back from injury, I don’t expect to see them lean too heavily on the run game. The more likely scenario is an aggressive passing game plan focused outside the numbers, where San Francisco’s defense is weakest.

With Metcalf’s opportunity in recent weeks and the logic behind Seattle focusing on aggressive passes, 65 yards is a hurdle he should be able to clear on Thursday night.

Parlay Odds: +400

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners â€” or head to more advanced sports betting strategies — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread â€” to learn more.

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App