Arizona vs. Stanford: College Football Week 4 Odds & Picks (2023)
Gear up for another awesome weekend of college football action with BettingPros! We’ll have you covered with all of our top picks for the week along with our projected spreads and totals to help guide your college football bets. Below are our top picks and predictions for Saturday’s game: Arizona vs. Stanford.
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Top College Football Odds & Picks: Arizona vs. Stanford
If you can believe it, this game initially opened with Arizona favored in the single-digits. By the time we could bet it on Sunday, it was Zona -10. And we aren't surprised with the continued line movement in that direction in the days since - at some books, it has surged all the way to Arizona -13 as of this writing!
The problem for Stanford in this matchup is Arizona's offensive efficiency. The Wildcats have a top-25 overall national offense. But that offense is top-10 in success rate both running and passing. And because it moves at hyper-tempo, it gives itself the most opportunities possible to nick you throughout the game.
Stanford's defense has been utterly incapable of keeping opposing offenses off-schedule, ranking No. 110 in success rate and No. 122 in marginal efficiency. That defense struggles against both the run and pass, so the Wildcats can pick how they want their yards play-in and play-out.
Of course, the Wildcats have a poor defense themselves. And that's our only slight trepidation here in laying double-digits - Stanford's potential viability sneaking through the backdoor.
Stanford's overall offensive attack hasn't inspired so far, but it has been very good on third-down, the reason it ranks top-50 in 3-and-out percentage. It has also generated a few explosive plays, which Arizona is susceptible to.
We like our Arizona -10 ticket, But we would stop firing on the Wildcats at Arizona -11. The market has already surged past that point. If this thing reaches Stanford +14 or +14.5, we'll be hitting the Cardinal on a partial-hedge with a big middle opportunity.
The pick: Arizona -10 (play to -11)
Best Ways to Bet College Football for Beginners
Game Total
Bettors new to the hobby can be confused by spreads, but game totals are simple. Every football game has a total posted for the combined final score between the two teams. Bettors have the option to choose the OVER or UNDER, generally at -110 odds (risk: $110; win: $100). So if the total is 42 and you take the OVER, you need 43 points to win the bet. If you put a bet down on the over to win $100 and it goes over, you get back the money you initially risked, plus $100. If it stayed under, you would have lost your $110 and that's it. If by chance the game ended with 42 total points, it's called a push; when a game pushes, you get the money you risked back but nothing more.
ie: California vs. Illinois, Over 42 or Under 42
tip: Over bets can be a really fun social event with your buddies. Have everyone throw in a few bucks, then take the over together. Instead of getting pumped when one side scores, everyone is pumped for ANY score, all game.
Moneyline
The moneyline is the easiest way to test your college football knowledge: who will win the game? That's it. The moneyline doesn't use favorites or underdogs, it's totally straight up. That said, the risk-reward can be challenging because they're weighted. Instead of every game being around -110, like game totals and spreads, moneylines vary depending on the matchup.
For our example, California was favored by seven points over Illinois, meaning oddsmakers think the Golden Bears are a touchdown better than the Fighting Illini. If you took Cal on the moneyline, points don't matter, they just need to win the game. But because it's safer to take them straight-up without points, you'll have to risk more when you make the bet - remember, they're seven points better than Illinois in the eyes of the oddsmakers. In this case, Cal is -280 on the moneyline, so if you want to win $100, you have to risk $280. On the flip side, moneyline bets can be valuable when taking the underdog because it's a riskier bet - they're seven points worse than their opponent. In this case, Illinois is the underdog - +220 on the moneyline. You'd win $220 on a $100 bet if you picked Illinois on the moneyline and they pulled off the upset.
ie: California (ML -280) vs. Illinois (ML +220)
tip: Check their history against one another. Keep an eye on the injury report and the weather.
Player Props
Player props are some of the most exhilarating bets you can place during a college football game, but they're also easy to understand. For major conferences, you'll have a wide array of options to choose from. Quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, and sometimes tight ends will have props to choose from. It's simple, fun and easy to follow, and odds on player props don't vary as much as moneylines. Generally, prop bets are in the -110 range like generic spread and total bets.
ie: How many passing yards will Brandon Peters have against California? Over 250 or Under 250
tip: Check how players have performed in the situation they're going to be in. Use split stats on any reliable site to see their numbers at home, on a neutral-site, in December, etc.
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