Arlington Renegades vs. Orlando Guardians: XFL Week 3 Bets & Picks (2023)
Here are our top picks for Week 3 of the XFL: Arlington Renegades vs. Orlando Guardians.
- Seattle Sea Dragons vs. Vegas Vipers
- San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks
- St. Louis Battlehawks vs. D.C. Defenders
XFL Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Arlington Renegades vs. Orlando Guardians
Arlington Renegades vs. Orlando Guardians
The Renegades had a thrilling comeback win in Week 1 and faltered in Week 2. They have a golden rebound matchup this week against the inept Guardians. The hosts are the largest betting favorites of the young XFL season.
It might feel uncomfortable laying 8.5 points, but the Guardians cannot keep pace. They were beaten 33-12 in Week 1 by the Roughnecks and 30-12 in Week 2 by the Brahmas. As a result, they have the two most lopsided losses of the year. Yikes.
The Guardians have scored an XFL-low 24 points and allowed a season-high 63 points. Their ineptitude can best be summed up by making no effort to score a touchdown on their final drive of the first half, despite having nearly a minute, three timeouts and starting on their 31-yard line. Instead, they lazily moved the ball into position to attempt a 56-yard field goal that fell woefully short.
Meanwhile, Arlington scored 22 points in Week 1 against the Vipers and mustered 14 in Week 2 against the Roughnecks. Arlington hasn’t looked like a team capable of blowing anyone out. However, the Guardians have made their opponents look like a million bucks. Houston scored 10 more points in Week 1 against Orlando than in Week 2 against Arlington, and San Antonio averaged 15 more points in Week 2 against the Guardians than in Week 1 against the Battlehawks.
Finally, the betting information in the 2020 XFL and this year’s version was encouraging for laying 8.5 points. The 2020 version of the XFL had similar but not identical rules. Nevertheless, the average margin of victory was 12.9, and the median was 9.0 points. This year, those marks were 8.9 and 10.5 points, respectively. Therefore, betting on the favorite is enticing.
Arlington Renegades -8.5 Points (-110)
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