Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds & Game Pick (2021)

We got this NFC matchup last year, and it featured an epic fourth-quarter collapse. That same team that choked away the lead in this matchup last year nearly did it last week. So what can we expect from this game?

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Details

• Opening Lines: Falcons +9.5 o/u 51.5
• Current Lines: Falcons +8 o/u 54.5
• Location: AT&T - Arlington, TX
• Start Time: 1:05 p.m. EDT
• TV: FOX
• Last Meeting: September 20, 2020 - Falcons 39, Cowboys 40

Let’s call a spade a spade, the Cowboys played awful last week, and because of it, they lost to an inferior team. Dak Prescott coming off the calf injury, could not move on the ball against the Broncos’ defensive line, who just traded away their best player. This included 0-for-3 on 4th down attempts.

Last week, Atlanta came out and played well to start the game, just like they did quite a few times in 2020. The offense was on fire and got them a huge lead late into the game, just like in 2020. But, do you see where I’m going with this? The Falcons would take a 24-6 lead in the fourth quarter....the Saints would charge back and score 19 straight points to take a 25-24....But plot twist! Unlike in a typical 2020 game where they choked away a lead and lost, this time Matty Ice would throw a 64-yard pass to Cordarelle Patterson to get them within field goal range, and Younghoe Koo would kick the walk-off field goal for the 27-25 win.

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Trends

• Atlanta has won 8 of its last 13 games on the road as an underdog vs. NFC teams.
• The OVER is 13-2 in Dallas’ last 15 home games vs. NFC teams.
• Dallas has lost 12 of its last 23 games as a favorite.
• The OVER is 11-15 in ATL’s previous 26 games as an underdog.

Overview

What a coincidence? Dallas just happens to be one of those teams Atlanta choked away a lead to last year. Could that be the case again? Possibly, but the Falcons can stay in this game. The 9.5 is way too high of a spread here. Dallas won’t be as bad this week, but they’re not blowing out this game.

Pick: Falcons +8

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