Bengals vs. Bills: NFL Divisional Round Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions (2023)
After a crazy Wild Card weekend, NFL fans have another packed weekend of playoff games to look forward to. The Sunday slate includes the two games with the tightest spreads of the weekend – Cincinnati at Buffalo and Dallas at San Francisco. Both games feature major storylines and excellent matchups. Both games also have some intriguing value available in DraftKings’ Same Game Parlay markets. Here’s a closer look at Bengals vs. Bills.
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Bengals vs. Bills: Sunday’s Best Same Game Parlays
Leg 1: Bengals +7.5 (-160)
Given the Bengals’ recent success, the +5.5 line coming into this game feels like they’re getting too many points. While last week’s playoff win over the Ravens wasn’t pretty, it was a big win over a team that executed solidly. Including that game, the Bengals have won nine straight games. Four of these nine wins came against teams that made the playoffs this year.
Buffalo is on an eight-game winning streak of their own, albeit a less impressive streak than the Bengals. The Bills only have two wins in that stretch over 2022 playoff teams – both came against the Dolphins, and both were by only three points. This includes last week’s ugly win over third-string QB Skylar Thompson. Josh Allen has been a turnover machine lately, throwing 5 INTs in his last three games.
The alternate spread of 7.5 points gives us a little breathing room here, but I don’t think the Bills will come out and roll the Bengals. In fact, the last time these two teams played – in the game that was canceled due to the tragic Damar Hamlin incident – Cincinnati was outplaying Buffalo early on. I think the Bengals keep this one close and may even pull the upset on the road.
Leg 2: Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD (+135)
If the Bengals are going to win on Sunday, they’ll need to rely on star WR Ja’Marr Chase. Chase has been the focal point of the Bengals’ offense in recent weeks. Over their last five games, Chase has had 42 catches on 64 targets for four touchdowns. Chase also saw 11 red zone targets in the Bengals’ last five regular season games.
Chase should have a good matchup to get in the end zone against Buffalo. The Bills allowed 18 receiving TDs to opposing WRs in the regular season – the fourth-highest mark in the league. Part of this is the fact that the Bills’ opponents often find themselves trailing, but it does represent a relative weakness in their defense.
If the Bengals lean on Ja’Marr Chase on Sunday, not only does he have a good chance of scoring, but they have a good chance of pulling off the upset.
Parlay Odds: +230
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