Bills vs. Bengals: Monday Night Football Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (Week 17)
Monday Night Football’s Game of the Year has arrived. The Buffalo Bills (12-3) need the win to stave off the Chiefs in the quest for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. But with a win on Monday, the Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) can still have a say in that race, as well.
In their first-ever head-to-head matchup, will Josh Allen and Joe Burrow give the world the memorable performance it’s hoping to see in primetime? Let’s dive into some of our favorite player props for the matchup.
Bills vs. Bengals: Monday Night Football Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (Week 17)
Joe Burrow (QB – CIN): OVER 280.5 Passing Yards (-113 FanDuel)
The game total for Monday night is set at 49.5 points. That suggests the sportsbooks expect a fair bit of scoring to take place in this matchup between two premiere quarterbacks. The Bengals are one of just seven NFL teams to average fewer than 100 rushing yards per game this season. As the Bills have the fourth-ranked run defense in the league, it stands to reason that Cincinnati’s attack will need to rely on Joe Burrow’s arm.
Though Burrow has cleared this passing line in only seven of 15 games on the season, he’s done it with flair when the game environment has called for it, clearing 300+ passing yards five times. Buffalo has a mid-range pass defense that allowed gaudy totals to Patrick Mahomes and Kirk Cousins earlier in the year. If Cincinnati turns this into the shootout we all anticipate, Burrow will be the reason.
For the better line, bet this prop at FanDuel (280.5 yards, -113) instead of DraftKings (286.5 yards, -120).
Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF): UNDER 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115 via DraftKings)
It’s been a curiously quiet spell for Stefon Diggs recently, with just 10 receptions across his last three games. The sportsbooks, though, are still accounting for the possibility of a ceiling game for Diggs with his receiving prop at a healthy 72.5 yards at DraftKings and 73.5 at FanDuel.
Diggs has failed to hit this receiving total just five times on the season, but most of those occasions have come in recent weeks. He has not cleared the total in any of his last three games, averaging just 41.0 yards per game in that span. Cincinnati does allow its fair share to the receiver position, but it will look to deploy the recent blueprint used successfully by Buffalo opponents in shutting down the Bills’ star this week.
Josh Allen (QB – BUF): UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+115 via DraftKings)
Josh Allen has thrown at least two passing touchdowns in four of his last five games. But across his last eight contests, that number is still just four. But against the Bengals in a game of utmost importance, I’m anticipating Allen relying on his legs more in the red zone.
In three of the five games on the season in which Allen did not throw for at least two scores, he used his legs to find the end zone in a rushing capacity. Then there’s the potential for the running back room to find the end zone as James Cook did a week ago. Devin Singletary has five rushing scores in Buffalo’s last seven games. Though Allen is often the offense’s focal point, the Bills trust their running backs in the red zone.
With the Bills’ team total sitting at 25.5, a couple of rushing scores would make it difficult for Allen to throw for multiple touchdowns. It seems there’s a reasonable chance that could be the blueprint on Monday night, but the odds you’re getting on the possibility don’t seem to expect it. At +115, DraftKings posts slightly more favorable odds than Fanduel (+110) for this prop.
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