Casper Ruud vs. Novak Djokovic: 2023 French Open Men’s Final Bets

The backdrop is set for what is to be a historic French Open Men’s Final. If Novak Djokovic wins, he will set the record for most Grand Slam victories of all time (23). Djokovic would also become the first player to complete the triple career Grand Slam and retain the No. 1 ATP ranking with a victory. Meanwhile, Casper Ruud failed in his first attempt to capture his first French Open title (and first Grand Slam of any sort) in last year’s straight-set loss to Rafael Nadal. Ruud is building plenty of experience in Grand Slam finals, with this being his third appearance in the previous five Majors, but will he be more competitive and win more than the six total games he won in last year’s French Open final?

Read on for our thoughts and predictions for the 2023 Men’s French Open finals.

2023 Men’s French Open Final Odds

(odds via DraftKings)

• Moneyline: Djokovic (-475), Ruud (+360)
• Spread: Djokovic -5.5 games (-110), Ruud +5.5 games (-110)
• Total: Over 37.5 games (-120), Under 37.5 games (+100)

2023 Men’s French Open Final Picks & Predictions

Casper Ruud vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction

Though Djokovic has every reason to be the clear favorite in this match, he has won 20 consecutive Grand Slam matches in a row and just dispatched the world No. 1 player, who had been 35-3 and won four ATP titles so far this season. However, backing his -475 moneyline odds is far too steep of a price, so we need to get creative with our wager to induce maximum returns.

Djokovic is 13-2 in his previous 15 matches after losing the first set. And he rises to the occasion in the biggest moments, as he has played 47 tiebreaker points in this tournament and not committed a single unforced error on any of them. And with his last victory in his previous match, Djokovic ran his career winning percentage to 85%, a historical feat OptaAce highlighted on Twitter.

However, we still give Ruud a great chance to win at least one set in this match, as he has flown under the radar for too long. Since making a semifinal appearance in Rome in 2020, Ruud has made 11 other ATP semifinal appearances. And we should not forget that Djokovic has “only” won the Australian Open and Adelaide event this year, as he spent much of the early part of the season recovering from a wrist injury.

Djokovic is 4-0 head-to-head against Ruud, with all victories coming in straight sets in a best-of-three format. But for as good of shape as Djokovic is in, he is still the oldest French Open finalist in the Open Era, and we expect Ruud to be mentally tough enough to scratch out a victory in one of four sets. This may defy the trends that the favorite is 6-1 against the game spread in the last seven ATP French Open finals, and that the Under has cashed in six of those matches as well. But many of those matches involved the dominant Nadal, so we feel we are getting great value with this price.

Pick: Djokovic to beat Ruud 3 Sets to 1 (+240 on DraftKings)

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01