Chargers vs. Colts: NFL Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay (Week 16)
On Monday night, the Chargers and Colts will play in Indianapolis. LA is coming off of a huge win over Tennessee to boost their playoff odds. At the same time, Indianapolis is effectively eliminated from the playoff race after allowing the largest comeback in NFL history last week. While this looks like a big mismatch on paper, books think this should be a relatively close game. The spread currently sits at Chargers -4.5 while the total is at 45.5.
I’ll play this three-leg parlay on DraftKings for this Monday night matchup.
Chargers vs. Colts: NFL Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay (Week 16)
Leg 1: Chargers ML (-185)
While the spread is a little tighter on this game than one would expect, I think the Chargers should come out of Indianapolis with a win on Monday. LA has won three of their last four games, and this is a pivotal game for their playoff hopes. Over their last two games, they’ve beaten two teams currently poised to make the playoff out of the AFC – Miami and Tennessee.
The Chargers have been playing well, but more than anything, this is a fade of the Colts. Indianapolis has lost four straight games under interim head coach Jeff Saturday, including last week’s disastrous meltdown in Minnesota. This team looks uninspired, and they’ll be benching Matt Ryan for Nick Foles on Monday. When Ryan was benched for Ehlinger, it looked like the Colts were looking toward their future – now that he’s being benched for Foles, this looks more like an act of desperation.
Los Angeles has been inconsistent this season, but if they show up and even play their median game, they should win this one handily.
Leg 2: Zack Moss Anytime TD (+100)
With the unfortunate injury to Jonathan Taylor, Zack Moss is on track to be the lead back in Indianapolis. This was certainly the case last week, as he carried the ball 24 times for 81 yards in Minnesota. This included 8 red zone carries – one of the highest totals for any RB in a game this year. He’s not exactly an all-pro running back, but he’s historically been a good short-yardage option who should get plenty of opportunity this week.
Moss should be able to post a big game against the Chargers. LA has allowed opposing RBs to score 16 times in 12 games this season – only three teams have allowed more RB TDs. The Chargers’ 5.5 yards allowed per carry also ranks as the worst mark in the NFL.
With the opportunity that Moss is going to get, and the inability of the Chargers to stop the run, Moss should have some good looks at a score this game. This is my favorite prop of the game – I love the value at +100 here.
Leg 3: Michael Pittman O49.5 Receiving Yards (-235)
While the QB play in Indianapolis has been spotty at best this year, Michael Pittman has posted a solid stat line as their top WR. Pittman is on pace for just under 1,000 yards on the season and has consistently been the target leader in the Colts’ offense. He crossed the 50-yard threshold in 4 of his last 5 games.
Los Angeles’ pass defense against opposing WRs has been solid this year, but they allow 12.5 yards per catch to opposing wideouts – a league-average mark. Pittman has posted at least seven targets in all but three of the games he’s played this season. Given his target volume, as well as the fact that I expect the Colts to be down in this game, 50 yards is a good conservative mark for him to shoot for.
Parlay Odds: +380
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