In 2021, I went 105-64-1 (+33.8 units) on March Madness player props. Here are player projections for Thursday’s first-round matchup between Chattanooga vs. Illinois.
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Player Prop Projections for Chattanooga
| Team | Player | PTS | RBS | ASTS | PTS + RBS | PTS + ASTS |
PTS, RBS + ASTS
|
| CHT | Malachi Smith | 17.2 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 24 | 20 | 26.8 |
| CHT | David Jean-Baptiste | 12.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 16.8 |
| CHT | Silvio De Sousa | 9.4 | 7 | 0.7 | 16.4 | 10.1 | 17.1 |
| CHT | Darius Banks | 7.3 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 14.6 |
| CHT | A.J. Caldwell | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 7.5 |
| CHT | Avery Diggs | 2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| CHT | Grant Ledford | 4.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 6.8 |
| CHT | Josh Ayeni | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| CHT | KC Hankton | 5.5 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 10.6 |
Player Prop Projections for Illinois
| Team | Player | PTS | RBS | ASTS | PTS + RBS | PTS + ASTS |
PTS, RBS + ASTS
|
| ILL | Kofi Cockburn | 20.9 | 11 | 0.8 | 31.9 | 21.7 | 32.7 |
| ILL | Alfonso Plummer | 13.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 16.3 | 14.9 | 17.3 |
| ILL | Trent Frazier | 11.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 14.1 | 15.2 | 18 |
| ILL | Coleman Hawkins | 8.8 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 15.5 | 11.2 | 17.8 |
| ILL | Andre Curbelo | 9.2 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 13.1 | 13 | 16.9 |
| ILL | Da’Monte Williams | 2.7 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 8 |
| ILL | RJ Melendez | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| ILL | Omar Payne | 1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| ILL | Luke Goode | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
Matt’s Top Prop Bets For Chattanooga vs. Illinois
- David Jean-Baptiste Under 13.5 Points (-130, DraftKings)
- Kofi Cockburn Over 9.5 Rebounds (-114, FanDuel)
- Andre Curbelo Over 7.5 Points (-128, FanDuel)
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