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College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions: ACC Tournament (2024)

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The North Carolina Tar Heels clinched their first outright ACC regular season title since 2017 with an 84-79 road win at Duke on Saturday night. That is a tremendous turnaround for a team that missed last year’s NCAA tournament after being ranked No. 1 in the preseason poll.

Entering the ACC Tournament, only North Carolina, Duke, and Clemson figure to be locks for the NCAA tournament, with others like Virginia, Pittsburgh, Wake Forest, and Syracuse likely needing wins in Washington D.C. to feel safe about hearing their names called on Selection Sunday.

The ACC Tournament is uniquely structured to span five days, from Tuesday, March 12 to Saturday, March 16. The six lowest seeds will be in action on Tuesday, while the No. 5-7 seeds await the winners of those contests in the second round. The league’s top four seeds receive a double-bye to the quarterfinals.

Here is how the bracket for the ACC Tournament looks.

This article is a comprehensive betting preview for the 2024 ACC men’s basketball tournament. Read on for the 2023-24 ACC standings, odds to win the ACC Tournament, and several teams to keep your eye on, from the favorites to a longshot. Be sure to check back on Saturday for our ACC Tournament Championship preview.

ACC Conference Tournament

  • Dates: March 12-16
  • Venue: Capital One Arena— Washington, DC
  • Top Seed: North Carolina

Previous Winners

  • 2023 — Duke
  • 2022 — Virginia Tech
  • 2021 — Georgia Tech
  • 2020 — N/A
  • 2019 — Duke
  • 2018 — Virginia
  • 2017 — Duke
Team Overall Record Conference Record ATS O/U (to the Over)
North Carolina 25-6 17-3 18-13 14-17
Duke 24-7 15-5 18-13 13-17-1
Virginia 22-9 13-7 16-14-1 13-18
Pittsburgh 21-10 12-8 19-10-2 17-13-1
Wake Forest 19-12 11-9 16-15 19-12
Clemson 21-10 11-9 17-13-1 17-14
Syracuse 20-11 11-9 13-18 18-13
Virginia Tech 18-13 10-10 14-17 17-13-1
Florida State 16-15 10-10 15-15-1 20-11
NC State 17-14 9-11 13-17-1 18-13
Boston College 17-14 8-12 13-18 19-12
Notre Dame 12-19 7-13 17-14 11-20
Georgia Tech 14-17 7-13 16-15 15-16
Miami 15-16 6-14 16-15 14-17
Louisville 8-23 3-17 13-18 15-16

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

TEAM ODDS TO WIN ACC TOURNAMENT
North Carolina +150
Duke +160
Clemson +850
Wake Forest +900
Pittsburgh +1200
Virginia +1900
Virginia Tech +3000
Syracuse +6500
NC State +10000
Florida State +10000
Miami +15000
Notre Dame +30000
Boston College +30000
Louisville +50000
Georgia Tech +50000

Favorite to Watch

North Carolina (+150)

Given the distinct advantage that the top four seeds have with a double bye in the ACC Tournament, it makes sense that only two teams have shorter than +850 to win the league’s automatic bid. North Carolina’s dominance of Duke in the regular season finale, a game it never trailed on the road, makes it the rightful favorite in D.C., and the Tar Heels will be motivated for a possible No. 1 seed if they take care of business this week.

Most teams when playing the Tar Heels focus their attention towards seniors RJ Davis and Armando Bacot, but they become one of the most difficult teams in the country to guard if Cormac Ryan is hitting from the outside, which he was in a 31-point performance against Duke. And as good as UNC is offensively, it owns the league’s best defense in terms of adjusted defensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, 2-point percentage allowed and 3-point percentage allowed.

North Carolina may rank 337th in bench minutes, which makes it more difficult to win three games in three days, but it got six points and eight rebounds from Jae’Lyn Withers at Duke, which should give head coach Hubert Davis the confidence to use a longer rotation this week.

Top Live Underdog

Clemson (+850)

Clemson’s path to at least the quarterfinals is favorable, as it beat Boston College and Miami by a combined 28 points the last two times it faced them. And the Tigers would face a Virginia team in the quarterfinals that they lost to 76-56 in the same round last year, but this Cavaliers team ranks third-worst in the league in adjusted offensive efficiency, and hardly gets to the free throw line, ranking 346th in free throws attempts per field goal attempts.

Thanks in large part to PJ Hall, the Tigers make the second-highest percentage of 2-point shots in ACC play, and their ability to knock free throws down consistently (79.0% ranks eighth in the country) gives them an edge in close games. The Tigers have not won more than one ACC tournament game since 2008, but they also own a road win over North Carolina and lost by one point at Duke this year, proving they can play with the elite teams in the league.

Best Longshot Play

Pittsburgh (+1200)

Pittsburgh won road games at Duke and Virginia, two of the top three teams in the league, and are well positioned to make noise as a longshot play after receiving a double bye.

The Panthers are a hot offensive team entering the tournament, as they have shot 50% or better eight times this season, but four of those occasions were in the last five games. Pittsburgh also showed its offensive versatility in an 81-73 victory over N.C. State in its last game, as its 20 3-point attempts (of which it made eight) were its third-fewest 3-point attempts in a game this season. Pittsburgh also had an eye-popping 16:5 assist-to-turnover ratio, marking the 13th time it has ended a game with 15 or more assists, and the Panthers are 11-2 SU in those games.

Consider this play a hedge of sorts against North Carolina winning the tournament, but the good news is if these two teams reach the semifinals, bettors are bound to advance the winner to the championship round.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:

Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

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