College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (11/28)
Feast Week came and went as one of the most exciting weeks of college basketball season before March Madness. Purdue showed why they are the best team in the nation while plenty of top-25 teams expressed their identity. Now that the ACC/SEC challenge is upon us, there are plenty of solid games this week and I will be right here to review and provide the best betting angle for each one.
Here are my best bets for Tuesday’s slate. You can follow all my bets on my BettingPros profile as I add last-minute bets and player props once they drop.
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Tuesday’s Best College Basketball Bets
Last Time: 2-2
Season: 13-8
Miami at Kentucky
After a 5-0 start to the season, Miami has moved up to No. 8 in the AP poll. Neutral wins over Georgia and Kansas State behind some electric perimeter shooting have shown why the Hurricanes are more than just a Final Four team of the past. Kentucky sits at 5-1 without an impressive win but competed blow for blow with Kansas in the Champions Classic. This should be a great game.
Both teams have been awesome from deep. Miami is leading the nation shooting above 45 percent from the arc while Kentucky is not close behind ranking fourth. While neither team rebounds at a high clip, what they do is take care of the ball with the Wildcats having the lowest turnover rate in the nation.
It is hard not to be drawn to the over here. Miami’s defense is 100th on KenPom and, honestly, I think that may be too high. Their interior defense ranks in the bottom 200 and they allowed at least 80 points to Kansas State and FIU. Kentucky has allowed nearly 40 percent of opponent points to come from deep, the 22nd highest in the country. As I mentioned before, that’s where Miami excels.
The two teams are high-paced and have electric offenses. While the point total is high, the shot opportunities will be there. With effective perimeter shooting, higher-paced play, and middling defenses, both teams should eclipse 80 points.
Play: Over 163.5 points (-110 @ DraftKings)
Clemson at Alabama
In terms of excitement, this game won’t rank highly with Alabama sitting around a 10-point favorite over Clemson. The Crimson Tide has shown off early with the top-ranked KenPom offense with every game scoring at least 90 points with three 100-plus point outings. The Tigers have their work cut out for them.
Clemson’s defense ranks 57th on KenPom but where they excel is on the defensive boards, ranking ninth in the nation. They will need to excel on the boards with Bama ranking 10th at second-chance conversion percentage. Alabama sits at seventh beyond the arc and 26th in near-proximity shooting as well.
PJ Hall is one of the better interior defenders in the nation, and just all around electric player with a 30-plus percent usage rate, one of the highest in the nation. But Clemson hasn’t faced a real challenge yet and historically plays worse on the road: winning both neutral-court games this year by a single possession.
With this game in the Coleman Coliseum, I have to lean toward Alabama here. Mark Sears has been one of the most efficient players in the nation while Aaron Estrada has been the definition of a sharpshooter. The Crimson Tide with their up-tempo dynamic offense can run Clemson out of the gym tonight.
Play: Alabama -9.5 (-110 @ FanDuel)
Other Plays:
Purdue -30.5 (-110 @ BetMGM)
Portland State -2.5 (-102 @ Fanduel)
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