College Football Bowl Game Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (Monday)
It’s finally here! The College Football Playoff Semifinal matchups will headline a five-game slate to start the New Year!
I’ve got a favorite player prop in both CFP Semifinal games and a prop in the Oregon-Liberty matchup in the Fiesta Bowl.
Let’s get right to it!
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Monday’s Best CFB Player Props
(Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook)
Bo Nix Under 315.5 Passing Yards (-114)
The Oregon Ducks are 16.5-point favorites against the Liberty Flames in this game.
While it’s awesome that Bo Nix decided to play in this game instead of opting out, if Oregon puts this game out of reach by the fourth quarter, you’d have to imagine Nix coming out of this game and not finishing off this game.
But that’s not my only reason.
Liberty has a very good secondary. The Flames allowed 232.08 yards per game in the air but gave up 113 yards on the ground. It’s more likely that Oregon will find more success rushing the football with Bucky Irving and Jordan James. The biggest weakness for Liberty is their tackling.
Therefore, I’ll take Nix to go Under 315.5 yards passing.
Jalen Milroe Under 201.5 Passing Yards (-118)
At this point, it’s evident that the Big Ten had some of the best defenses this season. Ohio State held Missouri to 14 points most recently and didn’t allow a single point until the fourth quarter in the Peach Bowl.
The Tigers averaged nearly 35 points per game and almost knocked off the same Georgia team that Alabama beat.
Therefore, this should be a terrific defensive showdown. The Michigan Wolverines have allowed only 135.08 yards per game in the air this season.
Milroe won’t have much success throwing it. If anything, Alabama will try to wear down the Michigan defense by rushing the football.
He will have to make some plays. But if he makes big plays, it’ll likely be with his legs, as he will have to escape the constant pressure from Michigan in the Rose Bowl.
CJ Baxter Anytime Touchdown (-125)
While Michigan-Alabama should be low-scoring, the Texas-Washington matchup should be much higher-scoring.
Texas and Washington are both not disciplined when it comes to converting tackles.
Washington has given up 134.08 yards per game on the ground this season, and the missed tackles are one of the reasons.
After Texas lost Jonathan Brooks to a season-ending injury, CJ Baxter and Jayden Blue have stepped up in his absence. Baxter didn’t play incredibly well against Oklahoma State’s run defense, but he still earned 13 carries for 43 yards and scored a touchdown.
Texas will have plenty of opportunities to score around the red zone in this game. With Baxter as the lead back, I’m confident he’ll score a touchdown. After all, the total for this game is 63.5, with Texas favored. So let’s take him to score a touchdown in the Sugar Bowl at a reasonable price of -125.
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