College Football Bowl Game Projections & Predictions: Week 13 (2023)
It’s never too early to talk about college football bowl games. And this season, I’ve developed a system to take a practical look ahead each and every week. I’ve reviewed the requirements and stipulations for every single bowl game, and I’m leveraging my projections, power rankings, and adjusted totals for all 133 FBS schools to come up with comprehensive college football bowl game projections. See below for my updated projections ahead of Week 13.
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College Football Bowl Game Projections: Week 13
| Game | Favorite | Underdog | Spread | Location | Date |
| Bahamas Bowl | San Jose St. | Arkansas St. | -5.3 | Nassua, Bahamas | 12/16 |
| New Orleans Bowl | Appalachian St. | Eastern Michigan | -13.6 | New Orleans, LA | 12/16 |
| Cure Bowl | Troy | Colorado St. | -13.8 | Orlando, FL | 12/16 |
| New Mexico Bowl | Louisiana | New Mexico St. | -0.3 | Albuquerque, NM | 12/16 |
| Jimmy Kimmel L.A. Bowl | Nebraska | UNLV | -2.4 | Inglewood, CA | 12/16 |
| Independence Bowl | USC | Iowa St. | -6.3 | Shreveport, LA | 12/16 |
| Myrtle Beach Bowl | Western Kentucky | Coastal Carolina | -0.7 | Conway, SC | 12/18 |
| Frisco Bowl | Texas St. | South Florida | -2.2 | Frisco, TX | 12/19 |
| Boca Raton Bowl | Fresno St. | Georgia Southern | -5.5 | Boca Raton, FL | 12/21 |
| Gasparilla Bowl | James Madison | Utah St. | -15.0 | Tampa, FL | 12/22 |
| Camellia Bowl | Northern Illinois | Georgia St. | -0.7 | Montgomery, AL | 12/23 |
| Birmingham Bowl | Auburn | Navy | -18.0 | Birmingham, AL | 12/23 |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Miami (OH) | Wyoming | -0.2 | Boise, ID | 12/23 |
| Armed Forces Bowl | UCF | Memphis | -5.4 | Fort Worth, TX | 12/23 |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | South Alabama | Ohio | -5.9 | Mobile, AL | 12/23 |
| Las Vegas Bowl | UCLA | Maryland | -4.3 | Las Vegas, NV | 12/23 |
| Hawai’i Bowl | UTSA | Air Force | -3.7 | Honolulu, HI | 12/23 |
| Quick Lane Bowl | Texas Tech | Toledo | -7.2 | Detroit, MI | 12/26 |
| First Responder Bowl | Jacksonville St. | Marshall | -0.8 | Dallas, TX | 12/26 |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | West Virginia | Illinois | -3.7 | Phoenix, AZ | 12/26 |
| Military Bowl | SMU | Virginia Tech | -7.7 | Annapolis, MD | 12/27 |
| Duke’s Mayo Bowl | Texas A&M | Syracuse | -18.8 | Charlotte, NC | 12/27 |
| Holiday Bowl | Clemson | Oregon St. | -1.8 | San Diego, CA | 12/27 |
| Texas Bowl | Kansas St. | Missouri | -1.4 | Houston, TX | 12/27 |
| Fenway Bowl | Tulane | Boston College | -8.5 | Boston, MA | 12/28 |
| Pinstripe Bowl | Rutgers | Georgia Tech | -1.5 | Bronx, NY | 12/28 |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | Oklahoma St. | North Carolina St. | -0.1 | Orlando, FL | 12/28 |
| Alamo Bowl | Oklahoma | Arizona | -4.9 | San Antonio, TX | 12/28 |
| Gator Bowl | LSU | Miami (FL) | -11.7 | Jacksonville, FL | 12/29 |
| Sun Bowl | Utah | Duke | -7.8 | El Paso, TX | 12/29 |
| Liberty Bowl | Kentucky | Kansas | -1.6 | Memphis, TN | 12/29 |
| Cotton Bowl | Penn St. | Notre Dame | -1.3 | Arlington, TX | 12/29 |
| Peach Bowl | Louisville | Liberty | -7.3 | Atlanta, GA | 12/30 |
| Music City Bowl | Tennessee | Northwestern | -15.4 | Nashville, TN | 12/30 |
| Orange Bowl | Alabama | Florida St. | -7.4 | Miami, FL | 12/30 |
| Arizona Bowl | Boise St. | Bowling Green | -15.0 | Tucson, AZ | 12/30 |
| ReliaQuest Bowl | North Carolina | Wisconsin | -2.5 | Tampa, FL | 01/01 |
| Fiesta Bowl | Ohio St. | Oregon | -2.0 | Glendale, AZ | 01/01 |
| Citrus Bowl | Ole Miss | Iowa | -8.7 | Orlando, FL | 01/01 |
| Rose Bowl (CFP Semi) | Michigan | Washington | -9.6 | Pasadena, CA | 01/01 |
| Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi) | Georgia | Texas | -8.0 | New Orleans, LA | 01/01 |
| CFP Championship | Georgia | Michigan | -0.5 | Houston, TX | 01/08 |
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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