College Football Bowl Game Projections & Predictions: Week 14 (2023)

It’s never too early to talk about college football bowl games. And this season, I’ve developed a system to take a practical look ahead each and every week. I’ve reviewed the requirements and stipulations for every single bowl game, and I’m leveraging my projections, power rankings, and adjusted totals for all 133 FBS schools to come up with comprehensive college football bowl game projections. See below for my updated projections ahead of Week 14.

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College Football Bowl Game Projections: Week 14

Bowl Favorite Underdog Spread Location Date
Bahamas Bowl Jacksonville St. Northern Illinois -3.6 Nassua, Bahamas 12/16
New Orleans Bowl Troy Liberty -0.3 New Orleans, LA 12/16
Cure Bowl Appalachian St. Utah St. -12.3 Orlando, FL 12/16
New Mexico Bowl Boise St. New Mexico St. -8.2 Albuquerque, NM 12/16
Jimmy Kimmel L.A. Bowl UCLA UNLV -8.2 Inglewood, CA 12/16
Independence Bowl Iowa St. California -6.1 Shreveport, LA 12/16
Myrtle Beach Bowl James Madison Western Kentucky -12.8 Conway, SC 12/18
Frisco Bowl South Alabama Rice -8.5 Frisco, TX 12/19
Boca Raton Bowl San Jose St. Arkansas St. -8.5 Boca Raton, FL 12/21
Gasparilla Bowl Syracuse Marshall -4.5 Tampa, FL 12/22
Camellia Bowl Texas St. Bowling Green -1.7 Montgomery, AL 12/23
Birmingham Bowl Miami (OH) Louisiana -0.2 Birmingham, AL 12/23
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Wyoming Georgia St. -6.1 Boise, ID 12/23
Armed Forces Bowl Texas Tech South Florida -15.3 Fort Worth, TX 12/23
68 Ventures Bowl Ohio Coastal Carolina -1.7 Mobile, AL 12/23
Las Vegas Bowl USC Maryland -1.8 Las Vegas, NV 12/23
Hawai’i Bowl Fresno St. Old Dominion -7.8 Honolulu, HI 12/23
Quick Lane Bowl Toledo Minnesota -6.0 Detroit, MI 12/26
First Responder Bowl UCF Georgia Southern -14.6 Dallas, TX 12/26
Guaranteed Rate Bowl Kansas Rutgers -8.5 Phoenix, AZ 12/26
Military Bowl Memphis Georgia Tech -0.5 Annapolis, MD 12/27
Duke’s Mayo Bowl Auburn Duke -3.9 Charlotte, NC 12/27
Holiday Bowl Clemson Oregon St. -2.6 San Diego, CA 12/27
Texas Bowl Kentucky Oklahoma St. -1.2 Houston, TX 12/27
Fenway Bowl UTSA Boston College -7.9 Boston, MA 12/28
Pinstripe Bowl Virginia Tech Northwestern -4.9 Bronx, NY 12/28
Pop-Tarts Bowl Kansas St. North Carolina St. -7.4 Orlando, FL 12/28
Alamo Bowl Oklahoma Arizona -4.4 San Antonio, TX 12/28
Gator Bowl Tennessee North Carolina -5.1 Jacksonville, FL 12/29
Sun Bowl Utah Miami (FL) -0.2 El Paso, TX 12/29
Liberty Bowl West Virginia SMU -0.7 Memphis, TN 12/29
Cotton Bowl Alabama Penn St. -0.7 Arlington, TX 12/29
Peach Bowl Florida St. Tulane -8.3 Atlanta, GA 12/30
Music City Bowl Texas A&M Wisconsin -5.4 Nashville, TN 12/30
Orange Bowl Ohio St. Louisville -14.3 Miami, FL 12/30
Arizona Bowl Air Force Eastern Michigan -13.2 Tucson, AZ 12/30
ReliaQuest Bowl LSU Notre Dame -0.3 Tampa, FL 01/01
Fiesta Bowl Washington Missouri -1.4 Glendale, AZ 01/01
Citrus Bowl Ole Miss Iowa -11.0 Orlando, FL 01/01
Rose Bowl (CFP Semi) Michigan Oregon -2.2 Pasadena, CA 01/01
Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi) Georgia Texas -5.6 New Orleans, LA 01/01
CFP Championship Michigan Georgia -0.2 Houston, TX 01/08
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What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting “against the spread” refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.


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