College Football Bowl Game Projections & Predictions: Week 6 (2023)
It’s never too early to talk about college football bowl games. And this season, I’ve developed a system to take a practical look ahead each and every week. I’ve reviewed the requirements and stipulations for every single bowl game, and I’m leveraging my projections, power rankings, and adjusted totals for all 133 FBS schools to come up with comprehensive college football bowl game projections. See below for my updated projections ahead of Week 6.
- College Football Week 6: Early Lines, Odds & Predictions
- Thor Nystrom’s College Football Power Rankings: Week 6
- More NCAAF Betting Advice
- Expert Game Picks for College Football
College Football Bowl Game Projections: Week 6
| Game | Location | Favorite | Underdog | Spread | Date |
| Bahamas Bowl | Nassua, Bahamas | Georgia St. | Bowling Green | -8.7 | 12/16 |
| New Orleans Bowl | New Orleans, LA | Troy | Louisiana Tech | -11.2 | 12/16 |
| Cure Bowl | Orlando, FL | Marshall | Tulsa | -8.2 | 12/16 |
| New Mexico Bowl | Albuquerque, NM | Western Kentucky | UNLV | -2.9 | 12/16 |
| Jimmy Kimmel L.A. Bowl | Inglewood, CA | Fresno St. | Arizona | -1.6 | 12/16 |
| Independence Bowl | Shreveport, LA | Utah | Brigham Young | -9.5 | 12/16 |
| Myrtle Beach Bowl | Conway, SC | Georgia Southern | Rice | -5.9 | 12/18 |
| Frisco Bowl | Frisco, TX | South Alabama | UTSA | -0.4 | 12/19 |
| Boca Raton Bowl | Boca Raton, FL | Louisiana | Army | -0.1 | 12/21 |
| Gasparilla Bowl | Tampa, FL | Auburn | Illinois | -9.5 | 12/22 |
| Camellia Bowl | Montgomery, AL | Appalachian St. | Central Michigan | -9.5 | 12/23 |
| Birmingham Bowl | Birmingham, AL | Missouri | Utah St. | -18.3 | 12/23 |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Boise, ID | Wyoming | Miami (OH) | -0.9 | 12/23 |
| Armed Forces Bowl | Fort Worth, TX | Tulane | Liberty | -4.9 | 12/23 |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | Mobile, AL | Toledo | Texas St. | -3.3 | 12/23 |
| Las Vegas Bowl | Las Vegas, NV | UCLA | Minnesota | -9.6 | 12/23 |
| Hawai’i Bowl | Honolulu, HI | Boise St. | South Florida | -6.8 | 12/23 |
| Quick Lane Bowl | Detroit, MI | Cincinnati | Ohio | -6.4 | 12/26 |
| First Responder Bowl | Dallas, TX | Florida | North Carolina St. | -6.2 | 12/26 |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | Phoenix, AZ | South Carolina | Kansas | -0.4 | 12/26 |
| Military Bowl | Annapolis, MD | SMU | Mississippi St. | -1.6 | 12/27 |
| Duke’s Mayo Bowl | Charlotte, NC | Tennessee | Colorado | -13.6 | 12/27 |
| Holiday Bowl | San Diego, CA | Oregon St. | Louisville | -6.8 | 12/27 |
| Texas Bowl | Houston, TX | Texas A&M | TCU | -8.9 | 12/27 |
| Fenway Bowl | Boston, MA | Texas Tech | Memphis | -5.9 | 12/28 |
| Pinstripe Bowl | Bronx, NY | Arkansas | Rutgers | -4.4 | 12/28 |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | Orlando, FL | Duke | West Virginia | -6.4 | 12/28 |
| Alamo Bowl | San Antonio, TX | USC | Kansas St. | -4.5 | 12/28 |
| Gator Bowl | Jacksonville, FL | Clemson | LSU | -1.3 | 12/29 |
| Sun Bowl | El Paso, TX | Washington St. | Syracuse | -0.4 | 12/29 |
| Liberty Bowl | Memphis, TN | Kentucky | UCF | -4.0 | 12/29 |
| Cotton Bowl | Arlington, TX | Oklahoma | Notre Dame | -1.7 | 12/29 |
| Peach Bowl | Atlanta, GA | Washington | Air Force | -16.5 | 12/30 |
| Music City Bowl | Nashville, TN | Ole Miss | Maryland | -6.7 | 12/30 |
| Orange Bowl | Miami, FL | Penn St. | Miami (FL) | -6.0 | 12/30 |
| Arizona Bowl | Tucson, AZ | Coastal Carolina | Colorado St. | -5.8 | 12/30 |
| ReliaQuest Bowl | Tampa, FL | North Carolina | Iowa | -5.4 | 01/01 |
| Fiesta Bowl | Glendale, AZ | Michigan | Oregon | -1.5 | 01/01 |
| Citrus Bowl | Orlando, FL | Alabama | Wisconsin | -9.5 | 01/01 |
| Rose Bowl (CFP Semi) | Pasadena, CA | Ohio St. | Texas | -0.2 | 01/01 |
| Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi) | New Orleans, LA | Georgia | Florida St. | -5.2 | 01/01 |
| CFP Championship | Houston, TX | Texas | Georgia | -0.8 | 01/08 |
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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