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College Football Bowl Games Same Game Parlay Picks: Friday (12/29)

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College football bowl season is here, which means almost daily football to brighten our holidays. We have a few games today, so let’s look at some of the top matchups.

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College Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Bowl Season

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Ohio State vs. Missouri

  • Leg 1: Ohio State -4.5 (-110)
  • Leg 2: Devin Brown Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Brady Cook Under 211.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The Ohio State roster for this game will not be the same one that played during the regular season. Quarterback Kyle McCord is at Syracuse, so it will be Devin Brown starting. He will not have one of the premier wide receivers in the country, as Marvin Harrison Jr. is getting ready for the NFL Draft, but will have the anchor of their backfield as TreVeyon Henderson suiting up. Missouri will have most of its important players on the field, which made this team highly successful. Brady Cook was amazing, ranking 14th in pass success, but the Buckeyes’ secondary was even better as the number one defense against it, and we saw some of the top quarterbacks in the nation fail to make an impact against them. Mizzou running back Cody Scrasfer might be able to make a dent, but if Brown can do enough against a vulnerable Tigers’ defense with Henderson in the backfield, the Buckeyes can end the season on a high note.

This is the first test to see if Devin Brown is the next guy to lead the Buckeyes. He saw very little action this year and has been out with an injury since October. Missouri is average against the pass, and although they are better against the run, Henderson will get his fair share of carries. This number is a little too high for a freshman who hasn’t played in over two months.

The spread is where it should be, and this game should remain close. While Cook has had some impressive games, several of them, including against LSU, Memphis, and Vanderbilt, were against teams that are outside of the top 100 in passing yards allowed, and no game where he threw for 250 yards or more was against a top 50 pass defense. Now he gets Ohio State, who was number one.

Parlay Odds: +440

Clemson vs. Kentucky

  • Leg 1: Clemson -4.5 (-110)
  • Leg 2: Phil Mafah Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Devin Leary Under 196.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Cade Klubnik’s first season as the full-time starter was decent but not what you expect from a former top recruit. His QBR was 68th, averaging only 6.2 yards per pass, and he was near the bottom in explosive plays. To make matters worse, he’ll be without his top receiver, as Beaux Collins has already committed to Notre Dame for 2024. For Kentucky, the offense was abysmal for most of the season. Devin Leary wasn’t much of a passer at NC State, and that didn’t change at Kentucky. After throwing for over 200 yards in his first four games, where the Wildcats went 4-0, Leary did so only two more times as they went 3-5 the rest of the way. The defense side is what will set these two apart, and Clemson owns that matchup by a mile as they have the edge against the pass and run. Clemson’s offense was improving as the season progressed, while Kentucky’s regressed. The Tigers will prevail.

Phil Mafah burst onto the scene and overtook WIll Shipley for the RB1 role towards the end of the year. He finished the season with 16 or more carries in the final five games and averaged five or more yards per carry in three. This will be his toughest matchup with Kentucky being 25th in rushing yards allowed per game, but Notre Dame wasn’t that far off at 31st, and Mafah had 186 yards on 36 carries against them.

We saw Leary’s decline as Kentucky went down with him. Some of these came against favorable matchups like Missouri and South Carolina, who were outside of the top 50 in passing yards allowed. Now he faces Clemson, who’s fifth.

Parlay Odds: +350

Oregon State vs. Notre Dame

  • Leg 1: Under 41.5 (-110)
  • Leg 2: Jeremiyah Love Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Ben Gulbranson Under 181.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Oregon State’s offense is a shell of itself going into this game. They’ll turn to the third-string quarterback Ben Gulbranson as DJ Uiagalelei and backup quarterback Aidan Chiles are both in the transfer portal. Although Gulbranson started eight games last year, he’s only made one pass attempt in 2023. It doesn’t end there; starting running back Damien Martinez will not play after his arrest, along with three starters from the offensive line. Everything that was said about Oregon State’s offense also goes for Notre Dame; 11 of their 12 offensive snap count leaders have opted out, including Sam Hartman and Audric Esteme. Each defense will still have a good portion of their players, so it’s hard to expect much scoring.

Love saw minimal action behind Esteme, who was 11th in rushing yards. The optimism is that he made an impact when he got the ball and averaged 6.2 yards per carry, but it was only 56 carries. Oregon State was great against the run, ranking 13th in rushing yards allowed per game, but if Love gets close to 15 carries at slightly lower than his season average, he could still hit this total.

It’s hard to imagine Gulbranson being able to do much. He’ll be missing all of his key pieces, including on the offensive line, and they’ll face Notre Dame’s defensive front that’s mainly intact and had 27 sacks this season.

Parlay Odds: +480

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

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