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College Football Bowl Games Same Game Parlay Picks: Monday (1/1)

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We’ve reached the biggest day in the College Football Bowl Season: The New Year’s Six. We will cover the two important CFB Playoff semi-finals and another note-worthy game.

New Year’s Day Best College Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Bowl Season

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Michigan vs. Alabama

  • Leg 1: Over 45 (-110)
  • Leg 2: J.J. McCarthy Over 0.5 Interceptions (-115)
  • Leg 3: Jalen Milroe Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

I don’t know if anyone thought earlier in the season when Nick Saban benched Jalen Milroe that they would be in this situation, but Milroe bounced back, and he’s been impressive due to his great decision-making, strong arm and ability to scramble for positive yardage. The defense has been their foundation, with one of the best defensive lines and linebacker cores, with players like DL Justin Eboigbe having seven sacks, Chris Braswell with eight, and LB Dallas Turner with nine. The secondary is just as tough with Terrion Arnold, who has five interceptions and 11 pass defenses, and on the other side is Kool-Aid McKinstry, who has seven pass defenses.

Will the Tide be able to put pressure on J.J. McCarthy, who was fading towards the end of the season? He didn’t eclipse 150 passing yards in the final four games and had just one touchdown in his last five. They have been moving the ball with Blake Corum, which has been successful, but there is the notable absence of RG Zak Zinter, who was their premiere run blocker. The Wolverines also possess a dangerous defense with 32 sacks on the year, and those edges will be hard to defend with Jaylen Harrell and Josaiah Stewart.

McCarthy’s decline likely had to do with the ankle sprain he dealt with; he should be good to go with the time off. If the pocket breaks down, and he can scramble and move the sticks, they could lose the time of possession matchup. Milroe must be able to scramble on the Wolverine’s pass rush for the Tide, but the Michigan secondary needs to force Milroe to throw into the middle of the field, where he has been more susceptible to throw picks For the options these two offenses have, they can definitely push this game over.

Total Parlay: +567

Texas vs. Washington

  • Leg 1: Washington +4 (-110)
  • Leg 2: Michael Penix Jr.  Over 313.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Quinn Ewers Over 288.5 Passing Yards (-105)

The Texas offense has to face a severe dilemma as they’ll be without their leading rusher Jonathan Brooks, so they’ll look to CJ Baxter, who had 4.6 yards per, and Jaydon Blue, who had 6.1, and both are highly effective on passing downs. They have Quinn Ewers, who saw his stock rise this year, going from a 58.1% completion rate last year to 70.1% and 7.2 passing yards per completion to 9.0, with Adonis Mitchell and Xavier Worthy being two explosive playmakers. On the defensive side, the front seven will play a pivotal role as they’ve been successful in the pass rush with 32 sacks and top ten in stuff rate. 

That battle in the trenches will be the matchup to watch against an exceptional Washington offensive line that only allowed 11 sacks and won the Joe Moore Award for the best offensive line. They kept Michael Penix Jr. upright throughout last year’s Alamo Bowl with five pressures in 55 passing attempts, and if you give him time to go through his progressions, then it’s difficult for any defensive unit to stop him. 

It’s hard to find a hole in the Washington offense; their top seven in passing and rushing success and 14th in finishing drives. Texas will have to match the offensive energy, and they have a legitimate shot, with the Huskies being 119th in passing yards allowed. With both teams having exceptional defensive fronts, it will be who can get that edge in the play-action pass and exploit the secondary. That advantage goes to Washington, which ranked better on play-action success rate. The Huskies will win again, with both quarterbacks having monster stats.

Total Parlay: +567

Iowa vs. Tennessee

  • Leg 1: Under 36 (-110)
  • Leg 2: Nico Iamaleava  Over 0.5 Interceptions (-145)
  • Leg 3: Leshon Williams Under 51.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

The scouting on Iowa is that the defense is really good, and the offense is atrocious. The defense will not allow you to move through air or ground as they were top 12 in stopping each, fifth in total yards allowed, and third in points allowed. They allowed just 15 total touchdowns this year, but the problem is they only scored 14 offensive touchdowns. They were 127th out of 130 in points scored per game, and it got worse as the season progressed and only averaged 12.1 points per game over their final seven.

The good news for the Hawkeyes is that with all of the opt-outs, Tennessee’s offense might be at the same level. The Volunteers’ offense was nowhere near where they were last year, but they still finished 37th in points scored. Although they won’t have their most significant players, including quarterback Joe Milton and running backs Jaylen Wright and Jabari Small. This is a tough assignment for the true freshman Nico Iamaleava, who has just 26 career passes and now lead running Dylan Sampson, who had 5.5 yards per carry on just 86 attempts.

If you’ve watched even one Iowa game, you’ve seen it’s a slow-paced, low-scoring punt fest. With the Vols not having most of their relevant offensive players, eye that low total and hit the under.

Total Parlay: +491

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:


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