College Football Bowl Games Same Game Parlay Picks: Saturday (2023)
We have officially entered the bowl season, which means almost daily football to brighten our holidays. It all starts today, so letâs look at some of the top matchups.
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College Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Bowl Season
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
UCLA vs. Boise State
- Leg 1: Boise State +5.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: Ashton Jeanty Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
- Leg 3: Ethan Garbers Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-108)
This is not the same UCLA team playing this game that played during the season. They will be without several key offensive players, including Carsen Ryan, Kam Brown, and Dante Moore, who all hit the transfer portal, and Carson Steele hasn't practiced due to an injury. The pass rush also takes a huge hit as Laiatu Latu prepares for the draft. BSU lost quarterback Taylen Green to the portal, Maddux Madsen is injured, so that leaves true freshman CJ Tiller to start this game. Unfortunately, he won't have Eric McAlister, who also hit the portal. While it's not ideal to have a third-string quarterback, the Broncos have responded well since Spencer Danielson took over and ended the season winning three straight. The Bruins' defense is tough, but without several key players, I don't think they'll hold up against a Boise State offensive line that's been great all season. Look for Chip Kelly to go 0-7 in bowl games as coach of UCLA.
Jeanty should be a key player for Boise State during this game with a third-string quarterback. UCLA was the best run defense in the nation, but they are missing a lot of important players. The rushing yards are a little too high to be confident in, but the receiving prop feels better, and he's had four or more catches in seven games, all of which have gone over this total.
Garbers will get the start for UCLA, and he's seen plenty of action and has even started. He's thrown multiple touchdown passes in four of five games where he's made at least 20 attempts. He gets a great matchup against Boise State, who were 111th in passing yards and allowing 16 touchdowns.
Total Parlay: +590
California vs. Texas Tech
- Leg 1: California +3.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: Jaydn Ott Over 109.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
- Leg 3: Fernando Mendoza Under 220.5 Passing Yards(-114)
Texas Tech will go into the game short-handed on the receiving side, with Myles Price and Jerand Bradley hitting the transfer portal. This doesn't help with quarterback Behren Morton struggling down the stretch by throwing four touchdowns and five interceptions in his final four games. Cal had an excellent ending to their season by grabbing three straight wins. Fernando Mendoza played well in those game games, with multiple touchdowns in each, but the Golden Bears move the ball through the run game, with Jaydn Ott averaging 5.5 yards per game and 11 rushing touchdowns. Two teams with very good run games, but the defense could be a big implication, that's where Texas Tech has the disadvantage, and that should push Cal to the win.
Ott was one of the best running backs in the country, as his 114.5 rushing yards per game led the Pac-12 and was seventh in the nation. He's been incredible with 150 yards or more in three of his last five, and he comes off rushing for 80 yards against UCLA, who were only allowing 69.5 yards. Texas Tech at 94th allows 167.7 yards per game, making this an easy pick.
That's why you could believe Mendoza takes a back seat. This total isn't set too far from the Red Raiders average of 226.5 per game, and other than against Stanford, he's been under 200 passing yards during their three-game winning streak. In fact, he's been under this total in five of seven games where he's attempted at least 17 passes.
Total Parlay: +573
Miami (OH) vs. Appalachian State
- Leg 1: Appalachian State -6.5 (-115)
- Leg 2: Rashad Amos Over 87.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
- Leg 3: Joey Aguilar Over 238.5 Passing Yards(-114)
Miami (OH) lost their star quarterback Brett Gabbert midway through the season, and it should have been over, but this team pulled through to win the MAC championship. They did so through a ground game featuring Rashad Amos, who averaged 5.1 yards per carry and had 12 touchdowns. The big key was their defense, which was second-best in points allowed amongst G5 programs and seventh in the FBS. They will undoubtedly have a big test, with the Mountaineers being fourth amongst G5 teams in points scored and 20th in the FBS. Quarterback Joey Aguilar was phenomenal, and his 3,546 passing yards were ninth, and 33 passing touchdowns were the second-most. So you'll see a best vs. best throughout this game, but who will prevail? For comparison, Miami is 23rd in total yards allowed, and App State is coming off a game against Troy, where they scored 23 points and 383 total yards. The RedHawks do not have the offense to contend, and if the Mountaineers can put up that performance, they can get this victory.
In that game against Troy, Aguilar threw for 275 yards. Miami is slightly better than Troy in passing yards allowed, but the difference is by five. Aguilar should put up similar numbers.
The RedHawks won't have Brett Gabbert, but now backup Aveon Smith will not play in this game as he hit the transfer portal. Look for Amos to get a lot of carries, and he saw 15 or more in four of the last five games. App State was one of the worst against the run and finished 11th in rushing yards allowed per game.
Total Parlay: +559
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