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College Football Bowl Games Same Game Parlay Picks: Thursday (12/28)

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College football bowl season is here, which means almost daily football to brighten our holidays. We have a few games today, so let’s look at some of the top matchups.

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College Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Bowl Season

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Rutgers vs. Miami

  • Leg 1: Miami +2.5 (-110)
  • Leg 2: Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Gavin Wimsatt Over 0.5 Interceptions (-160)

It’s been one of the more successful seasons for Rutgers in a long time, as their 6-6 record was their best since going 8-5 in 2014. They had a rough patch towards the end, losing four straight, but when you’re facing Ohio State, Iowa, Penn State, and Maryland, that’s a gauntlet. Miami was better in Year 2 with Mario Cristobal, but they still had some tough losses, including that last-minute mistake against Georgia Tech. There are a few opt-outs, but the most noticeable is quarterback Tyler Van Dyke. His backup, Emory Jones, suffered a season-ending injury, so it will be Jacurri Brown getting his first action of the season. Their run game will drive the Canes, as they were 62nd in rush success, going against Rutgers, who was 122nd in defending it. With Miami boasting one of the better overall defenses in the country, the Scarlett Knights will have trouble moving the ball.

While Henry Parish is the speedster that gets the chunk yardage, Mark Fletcher Jr. is the bruiser Miami will use to move through the trenches as he led the team in carries with 5.0 yards per carry. With an inexperienced quarterback, Miami will go heavy run. Rutgers was a solid run defense and was 42nd in rushing yards allowed per game, but Fletcher and the backfield will see enough volume to get some solid stats.

Gavin Wimsatt is a very turnover-prone quarterback with a 9:8 TD: INT ratio this season and is also coming in having thrown an interception in for straight. Miami’s 12 interceptions are the eighth-most in the country, so this is one to grab.

Parlay Odds: +480

Arizona vs. Oklahoma

  • Leg 1: Over 59.5 Total Points (-110)
  • Leg 2: Jackson Arnold Over 242.5 Passing Yards (-125)
  • Leg 3: Drake Stoops Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The Arizona football problem had some growing pains with Jedd Fisch, but at 9-3, this was their best season since going 10-4 in 2014. A lot of that had to do with making redshirt freshman Noah Fifita the starter. He threw for over 200 yards in each of his eight starts and multiple touchdowns in seven of those starts. Oklahoma’s success also came largely because of their quarterback Dillon Gabriel, but he has moved on via the transfer portal, so it will be five-star recruit Jackson Arnold getting the start. He’s been stellar in his limited experience, going 18-for-24 for 202 passing yards, and two touchdowns, along with 78 rushing yards on 20 carries. This looks to be a close game, as these teams match up well on both sides. Don’t believe that just because the Wildcats have their long-time starting quarterback and the Sooners don’t, it doesn’t mean they are at a disadvantage. Anticipate a high-scoring game.

It will be interesting to see if the Arnold era begins with a bang. The stars are aligned for it to happen, as Arizona has been vulnerable against the pass by being 72nd in passing yards allowed per game and 56th in pass success rate.

What will also help is that Arnold will have the full complement of receivers, including Stoops, who led the team in receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns. Offensive Coordinator Seth Littrell will have the full playbook open, which means his style of the Air Raid offense shouldn’t see a drop-off for Stoops, even with a new quarterback.

Parlay Odds: +542

NC State vs. Kansas State

  • Leg 1: NC State +2 (-108)
  • Leg 2: Brennan Armstrong Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Kevin Concepcion Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The transfer portal decimated Kansas State; they lost starting quarterback Will Howard, top pass catchers Ben Sinnott and Phillip Brooks, and several key defensive players. NC State has an elder statesman behind center; Brennan Armstrong had an interesting season by being benched, then he regained his job when M.J. Morris hit the transfer portal, and he closed out winning his final three games. With no Howard, the Wildcats will be one-dimensional going against NC State, which was 15th in rushing yards allowed. Armstrong is coming in playing his best football and hasn’t thrown a pick since becoming the starter. The Wolf Pack will pull off the upset.

This is why you should look for Armstrong to put a cap on his college career with a great performance. He was already facing a KSU pass defense that was 74th in passing yards allowed, and now with several players missing, this should be an even better matchup for him. 

Another benefit is he’ll have his best receiver. Concepcion was by far the most favorable receiver, with nearly 40 more catches and over 500 yards than the next one. If you look at his numbers of when Armstrong was the quarterback compared to Miller, it’s a huge difference. If Armstrong had started the whole season, Concepcion could have come close to 1,000 receiving yards.

Parlay Odds: +573

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

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