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College Football Bowl Games Same Game Parlay Picks: Tuesday (12/26)

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College football bowl season is here, which means almost daily football to brighten our holidays. It all starts today, so let’s look at some of the top matchups.

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College Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Bowl Season

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Bowling Green vs. Minnesota

  • Leg 1: Over 39.5 Total Points (-108)
  • Leg 2: Cole Kramer Under 158.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Darius Taylor Anytime Touchdowns (+115)

Bowling Green will try to play with a heavy run attack (54.28% run plays), but the only problem is they’ll be without leading rusher Terion Stewart, who had 6.1 yards per carry. Ta’ron Keith is a solid replacement, thugh, as he finished with 5.9 yards per carry. That could work against a Minnesota defense that is 73rd in rushing yards allowed per game. The Gophers are an even heavier run team (59.72%), and the good news is that Darius Taylor should be good to go after missing time. They should also be able to move the ball very through the ground against Bowling Green, who is 110th against rush success. These two offenses are going to move at a slow pace, but each defense will have difficulty stopping their opponent, so the best bet is the over.

Starting quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis and backup Drew Viotto hit the transfer portal, so it’ll be Cole Kramer who starts. He has thrown just one pass this year, an interception, and in four seasons, has 14. If Minnesota wants any chance of winning this game, they will not allow Kramer to pass, and he won’t come close to this number. 

The return of Darius Taylor is a big boost to the backfield. Until his injury against Iowa, he carried the ball 20+ times in the previous three games and 30+ in two. He should get that workload against and find the end zone.

Total Parlay: +674

Texas State vs. Rice

  • Leg 1: Over 60 Total Points (-110)
  • Leg 2: AJ Padgett Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110)
  • Leg 3: Ismail Mahdi Under 100.5 Rushing Yards  (-115)

Texas State is a team that can beat you on the ground or through the air; quarterback TJ Finley finished the season with  3,287 yards and 24 touchdowns, while running back Ismail Mahdi had 1,209 rushing yards and ten touchdowns. While the Bobcats will have a balanced attack, the Owls will sling the ball. Rice comes into this game passing on 57.46% of plays, 11th in the nation, and quarterback AJ Padgett ended the regular season with 255 passing yards and three touchdowns. Texas State should have no problem attacking this Rice defense that was 66th in points allowed, but Padgett could have a phenomenal game against a Texas State secondary that was 117th in passing yards allowed. The best bet is the over.

The Bobcats also allowed 23 passing touchdowns this season. Padgett three three touchdowns against Florida Atlantic in his last game, and their final season total was also 23 passing touchdowns allowed. He should be able to grab a pair of touchdowns.

Mahdi has a favorable opponent, with Rice being 70th in rushing yards allowing, but he hasn’t hit the century mark in his last four games. Some were better matchups, including Arkansas State (114th) and Coastal Carolina (95th). We won’t see Texas States rely on either the run or pass too much for him to get near that mark.

Total Parlay: +581

Kansas vs. UNLV

  • Leg 1: Over 67.5 Total Points (-108)
  • Leg 2: Jason Bean Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Vincent Davis Jr. Over 54.5 Rushing Yards  (-115)

The Jayhawks are one of the best dual threat teams in the nation as they’re second in EPA per pass and 12th per rush. QuarterbackJason Bean is a speedster that can sling the ball, so UNLV has to be careful with trying to stop one part of the offense. The Rebels had a weak schedule, so while they have some great numbers, they could be inflated because of their opponents. They have been able to score on weaker defenses and Kansas could be another to exploit as they’re 112th in defensive success rate. Kansas is also just going to try and outscore their opponent. The Jayhawks could be able to score at will and leave UNLV far behind,  but UNLV could also match KU’s pace and score with them. In either scenario, the Over is a great bet.

One thing we know about Bean is he can run. This is an incredibly low mark for a guy who has been able gain at least 20 yards on a run in four games this year. UNLV is just 111th in explosive plays allowed , so if he scrambles, Bean could get a good chunk of yardage.

The Rebels were not a heavy run team, but the Kansas run defense is an easy matchup to exploit. Vincent Davis Jr. was their early-down back and he comes in with 5.5 yards per carry. The Jayhawks were 94th in rushing yards allowed and 4.4 yards allowed per carry. Davis Jr. could get get a lot of opportunities to move the ball and could the get volume to go over this total.

Total Parlay: +573

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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