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College Football Bowl Games Same Game Parlay Picks: Wednesday (12/27)

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College football bowl season is here, which means almost daily football to brighten our holidays. A few have a few games today, so let’s look at some of the top matchups.

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College Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Bowl Season

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

North Carolina vs. West Virginia

The important thing to know is there will be no Drake Maye in this game as he prepares for the NFL Draft. The offense will miss a lot of offensive starters, including leading receiver Devontez Walker as well as the top two tight ends Bryson Nesbit and John Copenhaver. West Virginia has far fewer opt-outs; defensive lineman Mike Lockhart and safety Hershey McLaurin are the two more notable players, but other than that, they’ll have most of their starters. Even with their full assortment of players, the Tar Heels went 2-4 to end the season, while the Mountaineers went 4-1. WVU will have CJ Donaldson Jr., Jahiem White, and Garrett Greene, who accumulated 2,298 rushing yards and 27 rushing touchdowns against a depleted UNC defense that was 86th in rushing yards allowed. 

If we going to say that West Virginia’s run game will get them the win, then we have to give a rushing prop. Garrett Greene has been a menace both in the air and on the ground recently, with over 200 passing yards and 100 rushing yards in back-to-back games. Those opponents (Baylor and Cincinnati) were in the bottom 30 in rushing yards allowed, but with UNC being in the bottom 50, Greene should be able to hit half that.

With Walker, Nesbit, and Copenhaver out, J.J. Jones should get an even bigger share of the targets. The Mountaineers were 81st in defensive pass success and 92nd in passing yards allowed. Even with a less-experienced quarterback, Jones should be able to hit this number.

Parlay Odds: +567

Louisville vs. USC

  • Leg 1: Louisville -7 (-108)
  • Leg 2: Jack Plummer Over 241.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 3: Miller Moss Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+105)

Jack Plummer had his best season with 3,063 yards and 21 touchdowns, but how will he be impacted without his top receiver, Jamari Thrash, and top running back Jawhar Jordan? This is not the bowl game the Trojans wanted to play in, and it shows with some of their top offensive stars opting out. I wouldn’t count out Lincoln Riley to have a game plan ready for Miller Moss and receiving yards leader Tahj Washington, who finished with over 100 yards in three of his final five games. Louisville has the more complete team, with the defensive edge against a Trojans offense that has way more opt-outs. Even if they had a full squad, the USC defense was near the bottom in most categories, and that’ll be enough for the Cardinals to get a win.

Having Plummer at quarterback is a huge benefit for the Cardinals, even without Thrash. Louisville was spectacular with being 24th in pass success, and they’re going against USC, who was 101st in pass success defense. 

Louisville has been great defensively all season, and they were able to contain some notable offenses, including Notre Dame, and they shut out Duke. Going against USC’s B-Team should keep them up to their standards. Moss was efficient when he played, but it was against some below-average opponents in blowouts. 

Parlay Odds: +638

Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M

  • Leg 1: Oklahoma State -3 ( -110)
  • Leg 2: Ollie Gordon With 2 Or More Touchdowns  (+160)
  • Leg 3: Jaylen Henderson Over 214.5 Passing Yards (-115)

It took some time for Oklahoma State to find their stride offensively, but when they did, they were fantastic. They scored 40+ points in four of their final seven games, and it was thanks to Ollie Gordon, who was second in the nation with 1,614 yards and 20 rushing touchdowns. It was a mass exit to the transfer portal from Texas A&M after Jimbo Fisher was fired, so they will be playing depleted at almost every position. Jaylen Henderson will command the Aggies offense, and he was impressive when he became the starter; he averaged 234.6 passing yards per game with a 6:2 TD-INT ratio. With a full roster, the Aggie’s fifth-best run success defense could have contained Gordon, and they would have had a legitimate shot at a win, but with this being a shell of a team they had this year, you can confidently bet on the Cowboys.

When I say Ollie Gordon commands this OSU offense, I truly mean that. In his final nine games, he had 20+ carries in seven, and the two he didn’t were because the team was facing large deficits. Of those seven games, he had multiple touchdowns in six.

Jaylen Henderson proved himself in that final game against LSU and he even had more passing yards than the future Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels. This is a prime matchup and potential coming-out party for Henderson going the Cowboys’ pass defense that was 122nd in passing yards allowed.

Parlay: +798

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

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