College Football Bowl Projections: SEC Playoff Futures Odds & Picks (2024)
Since the change to a 12-team field was announced, the SEC has been expected to be a big part of the first 12-team College Football Playoff. If the latest rankings and CFB playoff odds (via DraftKings) are any indication, the SEC will not disappoint.
However, most teams still have two or three games to play, and at least one will be played against a challenging opponent. While a loss at this stage will knock them out of contention for a playoff spot, it will knock them into one of the more favorable bowl games the SEC is affiliated with. Here are our latest College Football Bowl Projections.
- More NCAAF Betting Advice
- Expert Game Picks for College Football
- Top Bettor Picks for College Football
- NCAAF Betting Strategy
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
College Football Bowl Projections
SEC CFB Playoff Odds
With 12 teams making the field, it would not be shocking to see a 2-loss team make the cut; depending on who it is, a 3-loss team may have an outside shot if the stars align. But a 4-loss team? It's not going to happen for one of them.
Here are the latest odds for the SEC teams still deemed to have even a remote shot at making the 12-team CFP field this season with their current CFP rank in parenthesis:
(Odds Courtesy Of DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Georgia (No. 10) -3000
- Texas (No. 3) -3000
- Alabama (No. 7) -1000
- Ole Miss (No. 9) -500
- Tennessee (No. 11) -135
- Texas A&M (No. 15) +350
- South Carolina (No. 19) +3000
- Missouri (No. 23) +5000
Georgia has a couple of soft opponents left in Massachusetts and Georgia Tech. However, these Yellow Jackets have some sting to them. They recorded an upset of Miami and could do the same to the Bulldogs.
Texas has Kentucky this week and then Texas A&M. They'll be favored in both, but the Aggies will not go down without a fight. A loss would not kill their playoff hopes, but a win for Texas A&M would earn the Aggies a spot.
Tennessee, Alabama, and Auburn are probably 'win and you're in' teams. Since they are already in the top 12, theyâll stay as long as they don't give the committee a reason to drop them out of the top 12. With the games they have left, they should not be in danger.
Texas A&M will need to beat Texas to get in; South Carolina and Missouri will need to win and get quite a bit of help (which is unlikely).
SEC Bowl Projections
Let's assume that teams expected to win out in the regular season will. That means Texas/Texas A&M, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, and Ole Miss are CFP bound, which leaves the loser between Texas/Texas A&M, South Carolina, Missouri, and the loser of the SEC title game to take the best bowl the SEC has ties with.
Here is where we project the SEC teams that do not make the CFP will land for Bowl Season:
Citrus Bowl: Georgia/Texas A&M
Losing the SEC title game will knock someone out of the playoff picture and into the Citrus Bowl. I'm thinking Texas A&M will beat Texas and then face off with the Bulldogs in the SEC title game. Georgia would likely be the favorite, but the A&M defense and Marcell Reed's legs will give the Aggies a shot.
ReliaQuest Bowl: Texas
Once Texas A&M takes care of the Longhorns, the perception of Texas will change to match that of the relatively weak schedule they played. However, the name alone will help draw it to one of the more prominent bowl games the SEC is attached to.
Texas Bowl: South Carolina
South Carolina has become one of the more exciting teams in college football in recent weeks; it's a shame their early losses will keep them out of the CFP. However, the Gamecocks will still land one of the better SEC bowl games.
AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Missouri
Missouri is a solid team when healthy and will represent the SEC well in the Liberty Bowl.
Belk Bowl: Vanderbilt
Where Vanderbilt lands will depend on how they finish the regular season. The win over Alabama and the strong showing put them in the national spotlight (which bowl game selection committees love). Losing to South Carolina doesn't help their case, but they can make up for it with a win over LSU.
Should they pull off an upset of Tennessee, they'll likely end up in one of the more prominent bowls.
Music City Bowl: Florida
Florida's late push will help the Gators become bowl-eligible and get them an invite to the Music City Bowl.
Las Vegas Bowl: Oklahoma
They will not beat Alabama, but a win over LSU in their regular season finale will make them bowl-eligible.
Gator Bowl: LSU
Seeing the issues Brian Kelly was having with some of the players on the sidelines in recent weeks has made me think a 6-6 finish is possible, which would land them in the Gator Bowl (or lower).