College Football National Championship PrizePicks Player Predictions: Washington vs. Michigan
This is one of my favorite articles because College Football's prop lines are softer than the NFL's. This will be a deep dive into the National Championship game, where I will look at numerous factors that will lead us to our props predictions. I will examine target distribution, target depth EPA, play action and motion tactics, coverage schemes, and personnel packages. Buckle up and enjoy the conclusion of the College Football season. Let’s dive in!
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College Football National Championship PrizePicks Predictions
Glossary
- EPA/Pass Att: Expected points added per pass attempt
- IsoPPP: Explosive plays
- Passing Success Rate: 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% of yards needed on second down, and 100% on third and fourth down
- Behind LOS Depth: Passes behind the Line of Scrimmage
- Short Passing Depth: Passes within 1-9 yards of depth
- Med Passing Depth: Passes within 10-19 yards of depth
- Deep Passing Depth: Passes 20+ yards of depth
- Mickey Mouse Throw %: Combination of Behind the LOS attempts and Short attempts; The average attempt % is 55.8%
- Big Dog Throw %: Combination of Medium attempts and Deep attempts; The average Big Dog attempts % is 37.6%
Michael Penix Jr (QB – Washington) Passing Yards over 291.5