College Football Odds, Picks & Predictions for Week 0: New Mexico State vs. Nevada (8/27)

In this article, I project the spread for every game of Week 0 using my ATL system (Adjusted Thor Spread). Using the ATL system, I provide my top picks of the week. Here’s my pick for New Mexico State vs. Nevada.

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College Football Odds, Picks & Predictions for Week 0: New Mexico State vs. Nevada

New Mexico St. (+9) vs. Nevada
(ATL: NMSU +7.2)

At long last, the market has finally caught on to how horrific this Nevada team is going to be. Without sanctions, Nevada essentially suffered a death-penalty offseason.

The Wolf Pack lost two stars to the NFL Draft (WR Romeo Doubs and TE Cole Turner), lost another in UDFA (QB Carson Strong), lost its coaching staff, and then lost almost 20 players in the transfer portal, most of whom were in the two-deep, more than half of whom were projected starters.

Things were so bad over the spring that the new coaching staff was struggling to fill linebacker drills. Walk-ons could be found throughout the two-deep. This team is nothing like the Nevada teams you remember from the past two years.

On the other side, Jerry Kill makes his debut at NMSU. Kill is a methodical program-builder. On offense, he wants to run the ball and control the clock. On defense, he wants to mind gaps and tackle, nothing fancy, force you to work for it down the field.

The Aggies are one of the worst teams in the nation. That isn't why we're betting on them. We're betting on them because Nevada has joined them. The Aggies are live 'dogs.

Bet: New Mexico St. (+9)

And here are all of my total win projections, odds, and picks.


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