College Football Odds, Picks & Predictions for Week 0: UConn at Utah State (8/27)
In this article, I project the spread for every game of Week 0 using my ATL system (Adjusted Thor Spread). Using the ATL system, I provide my top picks of the week. Here’s my pick for UConn at Utah State.
Thor Nystrom's College Football Power Rankings for Every Team >>
College Football Odds, Picks & Predictions for Week 0: UConn at Utah State
UConn (+27.5) at Utah State
ATL: USU -15.7
UConn, which hasn't won an FBS game since Oct. 26, 2019 (UMass), isn't likely to take a big step forward in Year 1 under HC Jim Mora Jr. (my numbers project the Huskies to win 2.2 games). But it would be surprising if the Huskies weren't more competitive.
You can't undersell how badly the last roster hated former HC Randy Edsall, who checked out prematurely besides. Mora and his staff of young assistants infuse energy and direction.
The offense has some clock-control potential with former four-star Penn State dual-threat Ta'Quan Roberson next to RB Nathan Carter. But though UConn has a little WR talent, Roberson's scattershot accuracy is likely to waste it if indeed he is the guy Mora tabs.
Utah State was one of college football's biggest surprises last year, finishing 11-3. The Aggies snuck up on the CFB world, starting a respectable 3-2 before finishing on an 8-1 heater.
But USU doesn't really profile as the team you want money on trusting to cover big spreads. The Aggies, who rank a humble No. 96 in my power rankings, won only two-of-11 games last year by 28 points or more. One of those wins was against an FCS team.
No doubt the Aggies will win this game. But UConn does enough in Mora's debut to stay within the number.
And here are all of my total win projections, odds, and picks.
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: Independents
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: Sun Belt
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: MAC
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: MWC
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: CUSA
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: AAC
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: Big 10
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: Big 12
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: SEC
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: ACC
- 2022 College Football Win Total Projections, Odds & Picks: Pac-12
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