College Football Week 10 Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
This week has two marquee matchups in the SEC that obviously will grab everyone's attention, including my own. However, we are looking elsewhere for two totals and a side that we’ll be playing this week. Let's take a look at each matchup in greater detail.
Army vs. Air Force (under 40.5)
Since 2005, service academies have faced off against one another 52 times. The under has hit 42 times to 9 overs and 1 push. Service academy games consistently have low totals, but offenses built almost entirely around the ground game, a slow-to-snap tempo, and a continually running clock have made the under a winner. Plug your nose and take under 40 points.
Texas A&M vs. Florida (under 56)
This should be a game where both teams rely on the run game. With a continually running clock, look for the game to be shortened and favor the under. For A&M, Weigman will be making only the second start of his young career, and Jimbo Fisher will look to establish a running game to make his job easier. Last week, Fisher employed this strategy, and Weigman threw only 12 times in the first half. Only when the time was running out did Fisher open up the playbook, allowing Weigman to throw the ball 32 times in the second half compared to only seven runs for Devon Achane.
For the Gators, the running game should also be their bread and butter. They are 3rd in the country, averaging 5.9 yds per carry. Meanwhile, the Aggies are among the worst in defending the run, allowing 4.8 yds per carry. Another point in favor of the under is Florida's red zone offense vs. A&M's red zone defense. In FBS games, Florida is converting on only 75% of their red zone trips, and Texas A&M allows points on only 67% of their red zone trips (less than 50% TDs).
Clemson (-3.5) at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish are another team that needs to rely on running the rock (over 60% rushes). In their last game alone, they ran the ball 56 times to only 19 passing attempts. Clemson sports a dominant front-7 with the second-best run grade the Irish will face this season per PFF. Their linebacking corps is talented and also has solid tackling and coverage grades (particularly in zone coverage). They should be instrumental in limiting the effectiveness of TE Max Meyer, who has twice the receptions and receiving yards as the next-highest Notre Dame player.
While there is some drama around the Clemson QB situation after Uiagalelei was subbed out for Klubnik last game, most of the talk has come from outside the program. Dabo has been very clear, and the last time DJ was taken out for Klubkik, he responded very well, playing his best football over the next several games.
3-Leg College Football Parlay
- Army vs. Air Force under 40.5 (-110)
- Texas A&M vs. Florida under 56 (-110)
- Clemson -3.5 at Notre Dame (-110)
3-Leg Parlay Odds: +596 on Caesars Sportsbook
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