College Football Week 10 Picks & Predictions: New Mexico vs. Utah State (2022)
Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 10 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: New Mexico vs. Utah State.
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- James Madison vs. Louisville
- Maryland vs. Wisconsin
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- UNLV vs. San Diego State
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College Football Week 10 Odds, Picks & Prediction: New Mexico vs. Utah State
New Mexico (+16) at Utah State
My system so very rarely shows this much value on one side. It appears that the market is beyond all-in on Utah State because USU HC Blake Anderson indicated earlier this week that QB2 Cooper Legas was "on track" to track for this game barring a "setback."
That potentially means Utah State doesn’t have to start its QB4 again. That's the good news. The bad is that Legas doesn't stretch the field, has averaged around 150 passing YPG in the games he's started, and owns a 5/4 TD/INT ratio.
New Mexico's pass defense is the strength of their team, and Utah State's passing attack has been bad all season regardless of who is behind center.
Meanwhile, the clear weakness of USU's defense is against the run. That's all New Mexico can do on that side of the ball. The Lobos' zone-option offense merely needs to slowly advance the ball up the field to keep that clock running and the defense rested.
One last thing: USU HC Blake Anderson got his big break into the FBS coaching ranks when he was hired as New Mexico RB coach in 1999. Anderson is not shy about his admiration for the New Mexico program, nor former HC Rocky Long, the man who gave him his shot.
"I owe a tremendous amount of credit for my career to Rocky Long and his faith and what he saw in me as a young coach," Anderson said. "I've referred to him as my football dad, he doesn't necessarily like that as much as I do. But I really do believe that without his trust and giving me an opportunity, not sure I'd be the head coach sitting in front of you today."
In a game with a spread this high, it's nice to know the favored coach not doesn't have an incentive to run the score up.
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