College Football Week 10 Picks & Predictions: Southern Miss vs. Georgia State (2022)
Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 10 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Southern Miss vs. Georgia State.
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College Football Week 10 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Southern Miss vs. Georgia State
Southern Miss (-2) vs. Georgia State
Southern Miss is on the rise with wins in five of six. The Golden Eagles will become bowl eligible with their next win and I think they get that here.
Georgia State has struggled to throw the ball all year, so they've leaned into the ground game - Georgia State has the highest rush rate of any non-service academy. Two problems with that, here: Georgia State's run game isn't good (No. 86 success rate), and Southern Miss' run defense is awesome (No. 15 success rate, No. 15 explosiveness).
And if GSU goes back to the pass, they'll be throwing into a USM defense that ranks No. 5 in havoc and a USM pass defense that ranks No. 18 in success rate. Not an ideal alternative.
On the other side, the weakness of the Southern Miss offense is that it has a freshman quarterback and has struggled to throw the ball. Southern Miss similarly skews run-heavy, and makes ample use of Wildcat sets.
That works here, because while GSU's pass defense is mediocre, GSU's run defense is an abomination (No. 121 success rate). Southern Miss will be able to nick that unit enough to control the clock and win this game.
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