College Football Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
Gear up for another awesome weekend of college football action with BettingPros! We’ll have you covered with all of our top picks for the week along with our projected spreads and totals to help guide your college football bets. Below are our top picks and predictions for Week 11’s college football games.
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Top College Football Odds & Picks: Week 11
Nevada vs. Boise State
The Wolf Pack are still mathematically alive for a bowl game, but Nevada needs to win out. As a 24.5-point underdog n the Smurf Turf, it’s a rather tall order. UNR has dropped three games in a row, while going 0-2-1 against the spread in that skid. The defense has allowed 34 or more points in each of the past two games, and four of the past five outings, while the Over has cashed at a 5-1 pace in the previous six outings. Boise State heads into this game with seven wins in eight outings, while going 4-0-1 ATS in the past five games. The offense has managed 28 or more points in all eight games this season, while allowing 24 or more points in four of the past five, and six of eight games. The Over is 6-2 on the season, too. The scoreboard operator at Albertsons Stadium in Boise better limber up the fingers, as he/she is going to be busy on Saturday night.
Pick: Over 60.5
-Daniel Dobish
Fresno State vs. Air Force
Air Force has bottomed out this season. The Falcons sit at 1-7 on the year and are coming off a hapless loss to Army last week. And while service academy teams tend to be the toughest teams in the nation mentally, it’s fair to wonder where the Falcons are in the tail-end of a dismal campaign. I most often don’t lay double digits against a service academy school out of principle. And I won’t do it here with Fresno State. The Bulldogs’ biggest strength is their passing attack, which happens to be Air Force’s strength defensively. So instead, I’ll turn to the under. The Bulldogs are fourth in the Mountain West in run defense and should be able to contain the Air Force ground game.
Pick: Under 40.5
-Matt Barbato
Florida vs. Texas
As a three-touchdown favorite (-21.5), this one should be easy for the Longhorns-but it probably will not. On paper, Florida doesn't belong on the same field as the Longhorns. However, while Texas has not been at its best in the last two games, the Gators have been putting their best foot forward. They took Tennessee to overtime before eventually losing and gave Georgia a run for its money with the help of three turnovers. Texas has been turnover-prone of late, with four in the loss to Georgia and 2+ in six of their last seven games. However, the Texas defense is one of the best in the country, while Florida struggles on offense. Their passing game is lackluster on a good day, which will make it easy for the No. 1 run defense in the nation to take away the run. The Longhorns will win, but it is tough to say whether they'll cover such a large spread.
Pick: Under 47.5
-Travis Pulver
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
If Ole Miss wants to make the first 12-team CFP, this is the game they must win, and if certain things go right, they could. The Rebels will probably not have too much luck running the ball on the Bulldogs, but Jaxson Dart could have a day if his offensive line gives him enough time. Every time he’s thrown for 285+ this season, Ole Miss has won. However, the key to victory will be the relentless pressure the Rebels’ defensive front will put on a turnover-prone Carson Beck. He has thrown 11 interceptions in his last five games, with three vs. Florida and Texas. A late turnover will lead to the go-ahead points for Ole Miss late in the game.
Pick: Ole Miss ML (+105)
-Travis Pulver
Florida State vs. Notre Dame
Talk about a game that looked a whole lot better on paper in the summer. Instead, we’ve got a matchup between two powers going in completely opposite directions. The bottom has completely fallen out for Florida State, who sits at 1-8. Meanwhile, Notre Dame will look to clear another speed bump with its College Football Playoff destiny in its hands. The Fighting Irish should be able to run all over the Seminoles, as ND ranks 13th in rushing yards per game, while Florida State ranks 115th defensively in that category. And while Florida State’s secondary has remained respectable during this dismal season, that strength doesn’t matter as much against the Irish, who don’t have a tremendous aerial attack. The Seminoles can’t do much of anything offensively, and won’t be able to move the ball much against a stout ND defense. This has blowout written all over it.
Pick: Notre Dame -25
-Matt Barbato
Alabama vs. LSU
If Alabama wants to stay in the mix for one of the CFP sports, it can't afford to lose this game. If LSU wants to make it, this is the game they have to win. Both teams have had a week off since their last outing; for Alabama, it was a 34-0 thumping of Missouri, and for LSU, a 38-23 loss to Texas A&M. The Crimson Tide will likely take a page out of A&M's book and run the ball early and often against the LSU defense. Jalen Milroe should have as good a day, if not better, than Aggies QB Marcel Reed. But the winner in this low-scoring game will likely be whoever does not turn over the ball. Alabama had a pair in both of its losses, and LSU had three costly ones against A&M (seven in the last four games).
Pick: Under 58.5
-Travis Pulver
BYU vs. Utah
It's an excellent start for BYU, as they are 8-0 for the fifth time in their program's history. They can claim to be one of the most improved teams, coming from 5-7, and experts having projected they would finish at the bottom of the Big 12 standings. The offense has surged under quarterback Jake Retzlaff, who struggled last year when he took over at the end of last season, and his 18 touchdowns are one more than they had all last season. The team that was projected to finish at the top is having an unexpectedly bad season. It has much to do with missing long-time quarterback Cam Rising, who only made three starts. This is still one of the better defensive teams, allowing 16.5 points (11th), but the contrast of scoring 22.8 points (104th) results in a 4-4 year. Even with that defense, Utah cannot keep up on the offensive side, and the Cougars should roll to a win.
Pick: BYU -3
-John Supowitz
Colorado vs. Texas Tech
The 20th-ranked Buffaloes have scored 34 points in back-to-back weeks, and at least 28 in six consecutive contests. Not only has the offense been great, but the defense has been playing solid as well, allowing 23 or fewer points in four of their last six games. However, this week, the Red Raiders will score 28 or more points to help push this game over. The Red Raiders have scored at least 28 points in seven of their nine games, and they even scored 23 points last week against Iowa State and the Cyclones’ 10th-ranked scoring defense. This game is a tossup when it comes to the spread, but both teams will put plenty of points on the board.
Pick: Over 62.5
-Phil Wood
Oklahoma vs. Missouri
Oklahoma's offensive has been a far contrast from last year with Dillion Gabriel as quarterback. They have not been able to be any offensive threat in the SEC, as 25.3 points per game is the second-worst in the conference. They still defend well, especially against the run; besides Texas, no other offense has averaged over four rushing yards against them. Missouri might need to rely on the run game because Brady Cook is not healthy, and it's been obvious. He played just the first half before being replaced by Drew Pyne, who threw three picks. Their top running back also has the questionable tag, as Nate Noel didn't play last week. Mizzou's excellent pass defense will shut down OU, which already doesn't have one, but as long as the Sooners do not allow rushing yards to the Tigers, they contain this offense with questions at the center.
Pick: Oklahoma -3
-John Supowitz
Michigan vs. Indiana
The Hoosiers are undefeated and won every single game this season by at least 14 points. Last week, they defeated Michigan State 47-10 after falling behind 10-0 in the game. This week they take on a Michigan team that has lost three of fours games, with each loss coming by at least 10 points. Yet, this spread is too large. The Wolverines may have lost by 21 to Oregon last week, but it was a 14-point game with less than a minute remaining. This team’s defense has shown up in recent weeks, it’s just the offense that’s been so problematic. In his first real test, Indiana quarterback Kurtis Rourke will struggle, as this game is played in the low 40s, and the Wolverines score enough to cover this large spread.
Pick: Michigan +14.5
-Phil Wood
Washington vs. Penn State
Penn State is coming off another loss in a big-time game, but their season isn't over, as they are sixth in the CFB Playoff rankings. The offense had no touchdowns last week, and Drew Allar had only 150 yards and now has to face the second-best pass offense in the country (142.0). As great as the Huskies' pass defense, they cannot defend the run and allow the fifth-most rushing yards to Big Ten opponents. The Nittany Lions' running game struggled last week, but Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen have been a great duo this season. The PSU defense can put pressure on Will Howard and should be able to get the win.
Pick: Penn State -12.5
-John Supowitz