College Football Week 12 Early Lines: Odds & Predictions (2024)
We’ve only got three weeks until the 2024 college football regular season concludes and we’re in for a thrilling finish. The 12-team College Football Playoff rankings were revealed for the first time last Tuesday and there’s going to be much more movement following the results from Week 11.
My College Football Week 11 Early Lines: Odds & Predictions did not fare well, finishing 0-3. Florida struggled out of the gate and never had a chance to cover +21.5 against Texas, Georgia’s miscues kept the Bulldogs from contending for an outright win at Ole Miss, and LSU’s inability to score points in a 42-13 loss failed to cash over 58.5 total points.
I’ve scoured the Week 12 board and have three quality bets to place ahead of Saturday’s upcoming slate based on early line movement. Make sure to follow me on X @Matt_MacKay_ for all of the latest college football betting insights, picks, and analysis throughout each week of the 2024-25 college football season.
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College Football Early Line Movement: Week 12
(Odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook)
| Away | Home | Open Spread | Current Spread | Open Total | Current Total | Spread +/- | Total +/- |
| Utah | Colorado | -7.5 | -10 | 59.5 | 47.5 | -2.5 | -12 |
| Tennessee | Georgia | +17.5 | +9.5 | 49.5 | 48.5 | -8.0 | -1 |
| Arizona State | Kansas State | -8.5 | -9.0 | 53.5 | 50.5 | -0.5 | -3 |
Utah vs. Colorado (18)
Utah lost an in-state rivalry game against undefeated BYU in Week 11, and now, it has to prepare for a difficult road game against No. 18 Colorado. The Buffaloes, led by QB Shedeur Sanders and WR/CB Travis Hunter, have two legitimate Heisman Trophy candidates on offense and they’ve been rolling opponents lately.
Colorado is 7-2, with a bad early season loss to Nebraska and a slim 31-28 loss to No. 20 Kansas State at home a month ago. The Buffaloes have scored 34 or more points in five of their last six games, so they’ll present a big challenge for Utah’s stout defense to contain.
Utah’s inability to get quality quarterback play is its weakness and Colorado’s defense has begun to improve. The Utes have lost five consecutive games, although their last four losses have been by eight points or less. It’s why the point total has dropped significantly from 59.5 to 47.5 points. Colorado’s high-octane passing attack will be tested against Utah’s pass defense.
Ultimately, I see Colorado’s offense outperforming Utah’s defense, while the Utes’ offensive woes continue. Utah’s defense is 11th in FBS for points allowed (17.1), so this could wind up being a 31-7 or 35-10 final score. Let’s bet a unit on under 47.5 total points between the Utes and Buffaloes on Saturday night.
Best Bet: Under 47.5 Total Points (-110)
Tennessee (6) vs. Georgia (11)
The SEC has another big game with College Football Playoff implications on the line in Week 12 when No. 6 Tennessee travels to face No. 11 Georgia in Athens, Georgia on Saturday night. The Volunteers have been slow to start most of their games, waiting until the second half to gel offensively.
Meanwhile, the Bulldogs’ offense has struggled with turnovers, as QB Carson Beck once again was unable to play a clean game from the pocket during a lopsided loss to Ole Miss in Week 11. Georgia’s defense has also been susceptible to big plays, which is uncharacteristic of head coach Kirby Smart.
Tennessee and Georgia will both likely turn to their rushing attack to control time of possession and eliminate turnovers, relying on their offensive and defensive lines to gain an edge in this contest. The Volunteers are getting +9.5 on the road. They’ve lost once in 2024 to unranked Arkansas, 19-14, while Georgia has recorded two of its seven wins by 10 points or less.
Let’s back Tennessee for one-unit to stay competitive enough on the road against Georgia to cover +9.5 on the point spread Saturday night.
Best Bet: Tennessee +9.5 (-110)
Arizona State vs. Kansas State (20)
Arizona State and Kansas State are set for a Saturday night matchup under the lights in Manhattan, Kansas as one of the other prominent Big 12 games in Week 12. The Wildcats fell 24-19 on the road to Houston in Week 10 and had an entire bye week to digest their disappointing loss, blowing their lead maintained throughout the entire game by allowing the Cougars to record a go-ahead rushing touchdown with under four minutes left in the game.
The Sun Devils are quietly sitting at 7-2, losing by eight points to Texas Tech and 10 points to Cincinnati. Both of these losses came on the road, so Arizona State will need to find a way to gain an edge against Kansas State despite lacking home field advantage.
Arizona State has recorded back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State and UCF, scoring 35 or more points during both victories entering Week 12. Kansas State has scored less than 30 points in two consecutive games, barely beating Kansas and falling to 4-5 Houston.
I anticipate points from both teams in this matchup, especially if Arizona State RB Cam Skattebo winds up playing for the Sun Devils and returns from a one-game absence due to injury. Let’s take advantage of the point total dip from 53.5 to 50.5 and bet over 50.5 total points between Arizona State and Kansas State in Week 12.
Best Bet: Over 50.5 (-110)
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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.