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College Football Week 12 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Utah vs. Oregon (2022)

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Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 12 odds, picks, and predictions for this weekend’s game: Utah vs. Oregon.

And check out our other game previews and picks for Week 12 of the College Football season:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 12 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 12 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Utah vs. Oregon

Styles make fights. And what we've so far this season suggests that this is a fight that favors the phonebooth brawler, Utah, and not the finesse Ducks.

Utah is the only team to beat one of the Pac-12's other finest finesse outfits, USC. Oregon was only outclassed once this season when they were slaughtered by Georgia (who also plays a smashmouth, two-tight-end brand of offense).

Utah is a well-rounded team, with an offense and defense that both rank in the top 25 SP+. Oregon, of course, boasts the No. 3 SP+ offense. But its No. 59 SP+ defense has come back to bite it. And its offense was impotent in the opener against Georgia and wasn't unstoppable last time out against Washington's sieve defense.

Utah's defense gives up explosive plays at an alarming rate (No. 128 IsoPPP), but Oregon's offense doesn't really generate those (No. 85 IsoPPP). Oregon's offense is an efficient machine (No. 1 success rate), and that's what Utah's defense deals better with (No. 56). If you think that's a big discrepancy, consider, on the other side, that Utah's offense (No. 7 success rate and No. 4 efficiency) is about to face one of the Power 5's most generous defenses (No. 97 success rate, No. 110 efficiency).

As if this wasn't enough, in Wednesday's media session in Eugene, multiple players hinted at Oregon QB Bo Nix being out for this game with the undisclosed injury he suffered in the Washington game. WR Kris Hutson was quoted telling a reporter, "Obviously, Bo is down, so it’s the next man up."

That man, HC Dan Lanning confirmed the same day, is QB2 Ty Thompson. This number was off anyway - my system thought it should have opened around a pick 'em. But if Nix is out, it arguably should be flipped.

The pick: Utah +3

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

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